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icon for 2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?
Elections·France

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

icon for 2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?
Elections·France

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

$324,093 Vol.

Apr 16, 2027
Polymarket

$324,093 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for Jean-Luc Mélenchon

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$8,790 Vol.

96%

icon for Nathalie Arthaud

Nathalie Arthaud

$6,993 Vol.

89%

icon for Marine Le Pen

Marine Le Pen

$26,493 Vol.

87%

icon for Fabien Roussel

Fabien Roussel

$3,830 Vol.

86%

icon for Édouard Philippe

Édouard Philippe

$14,839 Vol.

86%

icon for Bruno Retailleau

Bruno Retailleau

$9,561 Vol.

78%

icon for Raphaël Glucksmann

Raphaël Glucksmann

$11,793 Vol.

63%

icon for Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

$1,613 Vol.

56%

icon for Éric Zemmour

Éric Zemmour

$8,206 Vol.

59%

icon for David Lisnard

David Lisnard

$7,020 Vol.

45%

icon for Sarah Knafo

Sarah Knafo

$16,677 Vol.

40%

icon for François Ruffin

François Ruffin

$2,028 Vol.

35%

icon for Dominique de Villepin

Dominique de Villepin

$11,855 Vol.

32%

icon for François Hollande

François Hollande

$13,036 Vol.

28%

icon for Gabriel Attal

Gabriel Attal

$10,439 Vol.

27%

icon for Marine Tondelier

Marine Tondelier

$9,439 Vol.

25%

icon for Juan Branco

Juan Branco

$7,002 Vol.

16%

icon for Olivier Faure

Olivier Faure

$4,210 Vol.

15%

icon for François Asselineau

François Asselineau

$9,952 Vol.

14%

icon for Jordan Bardella

Jordan Bardella

$21,561 Vol.

13%

icon for Delphine Batho

Delphine Batho

$1,232 Vol.

11%

icon for Bernard Cazeneuve

Bernard Cazeneuve

$9,890 Vol.

11%

icon for Xavier Bertrand

Xavier Bertrand

$5,415 Vol.

10%

icon for Jérôme Guedj

Jérôme Guedj

$4,824 Vol.

10%

icon for Manuel Bompard

Manuel Bompard

$3,365 Vol.

9%

icon for Élisabeth Borne

Élisabeth Borne

$1,435 Vol.

8%

icon for Karim Bouamrane

Karim Bouamrane

$4,489 Vol.

8%

icon for Sébastien Lecornu

Sébastien Lecornu

$1,233 Vol.

8%

icon for Michel Barnier

Michel Barnier

$2,538 Vol.

8%

icon for Jean-Michel Fauvergue

Jean-Michel Fauvergue

$2,807 Vol.

8%

icon for Bally Bagayoko

Bally Bagayoko

$6,989 Vol.

7%

icon for Teddy Riner

Teddy Riner

$1,298 Vol.

7%

icon for Mathilde Panot

Mathilde Panot

$2,893 Vol.

7%

icon for Michel-Edouard Leclerc

Michel-Edouard Leclerc

$8,013 Vol.

7%

icon for Ségolène Royal

Ségolène Royal

$2,049 Vol.

7%

icon for Jean Castex

Jean Castex

$3,538 Vol.

7%

icon for Yaël Braun-Pivet

Yaël Braun-Pivet

$991 Vol.

6%

icon for Matthieu Pigasse

Matthieu Pigasse

$12,841 Vol.

6%

icon for François Bayrou

François Bayrou

$5,078 Vol.

6%

icon for Carole Delga

Carole Delga

$3,948 Vol.

6%

icon for Manuel Valls

Manuel Valls

$1,075 Vol.

5%

icon for Gérald Darmanin

Gérald Darmanin

$4,977 Vol.

5%

icon for Philippe de Villiers

Philippe de Villiers

$3,906 Vol.

5%

icon for Laurent Wauquiez

Laurent Wauquiez

$20,992 Vol.

3%

icon for Valérie Pécresse

Valérie Pécresse

$1,346 Vol.

3%

icon for Clémentine Autain

Clémentine Autain

$1,598 Vol.

3%

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2027 French presidential election, set for April 18 with a runoff on May 2, features an unusually crowded field after Emmanuel Macron’s term limit bars him from running. Marine Le Pen cleared a key legal hurdle in July 2026 when an appeals court reduced her ineligibility period, enabling her confirmed candidacy and positioning the Rassemblement National as the first-round frontrunner in polls at 32–38%. Multiple center and center-right figures including Édouard Philippe, Gabriel Attal, and Bruno Retailleau have declared, while the left is consolidating through an October 2026 United Left primary and a Socialist primary featuring recent entrant Raphaël Glucksmann. Ongoing Russian disinformation probes and internal party negotiations continue to shape which candidates secure the 500 sponsorships needed for the ballot.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$324,093
End Date
Apr 17, 2027
Market Opened
Apr 22, 2026, 6:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2027 French presidential election, set for April 18 with a runoff on May 2, features an unusually crowded field after Emmanuel Macron’s term limit bars him from running. Marine Le Pen cleared a key legal hurdle in July 2026 when an appeals court reduced her ineligibility period, enabling her confirmed candidacy and positioning the Rassemblement National as the first-round frontrunner in polls at 32–38%. Multiple center and center-right figures including Édouard Philippe, Gabriel Attal, and Bruno Retailleau have declared, while the left is consolidating through an October 2026 United Left primary and a Socialist primary featuring recent entrant Raphaël Glucksmann. Ongoing Russian disinformation probes and internal party negotiations continue to shape which candidates secure the 500 sponsorships needed for the ballot.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$324,093
End Date
Apr 17, 2027
Market Opened
Apr 22, 2026, 6:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Will Éric Zemmour announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?

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icon for Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?

Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?

33%
icon for Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?

Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?

86%

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Frequently Asked Questions

"2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 46+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Jean-Luc Mélenchon" at 96%, followed by "Nathalie Arthaud" at 89%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 96¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 96% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?" has generated $324.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 22, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?," browse the 46+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?" is "Jean-Luc Mélenchon" at 96%, meaning the market assigns a 96% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Nathalie Arthaud" at 89%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.