Recent App Store data shows ChatGPT holding the top free spot, with Meta's newly launched Muse AI agent in second and Vinted in third as of September 16. Trader consensus reflects tight competition among productivity-focused large language model apps, where daily download velocity, retention metrics, and algorithmic promotion determine precise rankings. Muse's early September debut drove rapid gains through its personal agent capabilities and subscription tiers, yet steady shopping demand sustains Vinted while ChatGPT benefits from established user habits. With no major product launches, marketing pushes, or regulatory shifts expected before September 18, small weekend engagement fluctuations could reorder the top three, keeping implied probabilities closely matched around 50% for leading contenders.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedChatGPT 26%
Vinted 26%
TikTok Pro - Events 26%
Google Gemini 26%

ChatGPT
26%
Vinted
26%

TikTok Pro - Events
26%

Google Gemini
26%

Muse
26%

Google Maps
26%

Polymarket
26%
ChatGPT 26%
Vinted 26%
TikTok Pro - Events 26%
Google Gemini 26%

ChatGPT
26%
Vinted
26%

TikTok Pro - Events
26%

Google Gemini
26%

Muse
26%

Google Maps
26%

Polymarket
26%
If the chart is unavailable at 12:00 PM ET, this market may remain open for up to 48 hours to allow for the data to become available. If the data remains unavailable, this market will resolve according to the last published ranking.
To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
Market Opened: Sep 15, 2026, 11:44 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the chart is unavailable at 12:00 PM ET, this market may remain open for up to 48 hours to allow for the data to become available. If the data remains unavailable, this market will resolve according to the last published ranking.
To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent App Store data shows ChatGPT holding the top free spot, with Meta's newly launched Muse AI agent in second and Vinted in third as of September 16. Trader consensus reflects tight competition among productivity-focused large language model apps, where daily download velocity, retention metrics, and algorithmic promotion determine precise rankings. Muse's early September debut drove rapid gains through its personal agent capabilities and subscription tiers, yet steady shopping demand sustains Vinted while ChatGPT benefits from established user habits. With no major product launches, marketing pushes, or regulatory shifts expected before September 18, small weekend engagement fluctuations could reorder the top three, keeping implied probabilities closely matched around 50% for leading contenders.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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