Rapid revenue growth in Anthropic’s Claude large language models, reaching a $65 billion annualized run rate by July 2026 from $9 billion at the end of 2025, combined with a $65 billion Series H round at a $965 billion private valuation and a confidential SEC S-1 filing in June, underpins the overwhelming 94.5% market-implied odds for a 600B+ IPO closing market cap. Traders see the company on track for an October 2026 Nasdaq debut potentially valued near or above $2 trillion, supported by 2028 revenue projections of $190–200 billion and major underwriters including Goldman Sachs. Realistic challenges include IPO delays from volatile market conditions, slower-than-expected enterprise adoption, or regulatory scrutiny on AI infrastructure commitments that could compress multiples.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated600B+ 94.3%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 2.2%
400–600B <1%
300–400B <1%
$423,896 Vol.
$423,896 Vol.
Dec 30, 2027
<100B
<1%
100–200B
<1%
200–300B
<1%
300–400B
<1%
400–600B
1%
600B+
94%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
2%
600B+ 94.3%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 2.2%
400–600B <1%
300–400B <1%
$423,896 Vol.
$423,896 Vol.
Dec 30, 2027
<100B
$156,465 Vol.
<1%
100–200B
$75,088 Vol.
<1%
200–300B
$19,772 Vol.
<1%
300–400B
$70,236 Vol.
<1%
400–600B
$22,213 Vol.
1%
600B+
$46,642 Vol.
94%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
$33,480 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Rapid revenue growth in Anthropic’s Claude large language models, reaching a $65 billion annualized run rate by July 2026 from $9 billion at the end of 2025, combined with a $65 billion Series H round at a $965 billion private valuation and a confidential SEC S-1 filing in June, underpins the overwhelming 94.5% market-implied odds for a 600B+ IPO closing market cap. Traders see the company on track for an October 2026 Nasdaq debut potentially valued near or above $2 trillion, supported by 2028 revenue projections of $190–200 billion and major underwriters including Goldman Sachs. Realistic challenges include IPO delays from volatile market conditions, slower-than-expected enterprise adoption, or regulatory scrutiny on AI infrastructure commitments that could compress multiples.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Market Opened: Feb 4, 2026, 1:21 PM ET
Volume
$423,896End Date
Dec 31, 2027Market Opened
Feb 4, 2026, 1:21 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Rapid revenue growth in Anthropic’s Claude large language models, reaching a $65 billion annualized run rate by July 2026 from $9 billion at the end of 2025, combined with a $65 billion Series H round at a $965 billion private valuation and a confidential SEC S-1 filing in June, underpins the overwhelming 94.5% market-implied odds for a 600B+ IPO closing market cap. Traders see the company on track for an October 2026 Nasdaq debut potentially valued near or above $2 trillion, supported by 2028 revenue projections of $190–200 billion and major underwriters including Goldman Sachs. Realistic challenges include IPO delays from volatile market conditions, slower-than-expected enterprise adoption, or regulatory scrutiny on AI infrastructure commitments that could compress multiples.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$423,896End Date
Dec 31, 2027Market Opened
Feb 4, 2026, 1:21 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Rapid revenue growth in Anthropic’s Claude large language models, reaching a $65 billion annualized run rate by July 2026 from $9 billion at the end of 2025, combined with a $65 billion Series H round at a $965 billion private valuation and a confidential SEC S-1 filing in June, underpins the overwhelming 94.5% market-implied odds for a 600B+ IPO closing market cap. Traders see the company on track for an October 2026 Nasdaq debut potentially valued near or above $2 trillion, supported by 2028 revenue projections of $190–200 billion and major underwriters including Goldman Sachs. Realistic challenges include IPO delays from volatile market conditions, slower-than-expected enterprise adoption, or regulatory scrutiny on AI infrastructure commitments that could compress multiples.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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