Ella Langley’s “Choosin’ Texas” commands trader consensus at 67% implied probability for the Billboard Hot 100 dated the week of September 12 because of its unmatched 19-week reign atop the chart through late August, sustained streaming dominance, radio airplay, and sales that have rewritten records for a female country lead. The track’s crossover momentum from Langley’s Dandelion album, including multiple distinct #1 runs and genre-first simultaneous chart sweeps, has created a durable buffer against newer releases. Morgan Wallen’s “Been By Now,” Stella Lefty’s “Boston,” and tracks from Taylor Swift and Ariana Grande sit at lower odds as they compete for incremental gains amid the incumbent’s strength, with the next chart lock and any late-summer streaming spikes serving as the key swing factors before September data finalizes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedBillboard Hot 100 #1 Song Week of September 12
Billboard Hot 100 #1 Song Week of September 12
Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley 67%
Been By Now - Morgan Wallen 18%
Jolene - Dolly Parton 15%
9 to 5 - Dolly Parton 15%
NEW
NEW
Sep 8, 2026
Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley
67%
Been By Now - Morgan Wallen
18%
Jolene - Dolly Parton
15%
9 to 5 - Dolly Parton
15%
Boston - Stella Lefty
15%
Be Her - Ella Langley
15%
I Knew It, I Knew You - Taylor Swift
15%
hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande
14%
Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley 67%
Been By Now - Morgan Wallen 18%
Jolene - Dolly Parton 15%
9 to 5 - Dolly Parton 15%
NEW
NEW
Sep 8, 2026
Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley
$54 Vol.
67%
Been By Now - Morgan Wallen
$9 Vol.
18%
Jolene - Dolly Parton
$0 Vol.
15%
9 to 5 - Dolly Parton
$0 Vol.
15%
Boston - Stella Lefty
$0 Vol.
15%
Be Her - Ella Langley
$10 Vol.
15%
I Knew It, I Knew You - Taylor Swift
$10 Vol.
15%
hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande
$10 Vol.
14%
Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”.
This market will resolve according to the number 1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled “Week of September 12, 2026”. Songs will be primarily ranked by order on the specified chart. If two or more songs are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the songs' listed titles. This market will resolve to the song that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.Ella Langley’s “Choosin’ Texas” commands trader consensus at 67% implied probability for the Billboard Hot 100 dated the week of September 12 because of its unmatched 19-week reign atop the chart through late August, sustained streaming dominance, radio airplay, and sales that have rewritten records for a female country lead. The track’s crossover momentum from Langley’s Dandelion album, including multiple distinct #1 runs and genre-first simultaneous chart sweeps, has created a durable buffer against newer releases. Morgan Wallen’s “Been By Now,” Stella Lefty’s “Boston,” and tracks from Taylor Swift and Ariana Grande sit at lower odds as they compete for incremental gains amid the incumbent’s strength, with the next chart lock and any late-summer streaming spikes serving as the key swing factors before September data finalizes.
Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”.
This market will resolve according to the number 1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled “Week of September 12, 2026”. Songs will be primarily ranked by order on the specified chart. If two or more songs are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the songs' listed titles. This market will resolve to the song that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.
This market will resolve according to the number 1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled “Week of September 12, 2026”. Songs will be primarily ranked by order on the specified chart. If two or more songs are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the songs' listed titles. This market will resolve to the song that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 7:02 PM ET
Volume
$92End Date
Sep 8, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 7:02 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”.
This market will resolve according to the number 1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled “Week of September 12, 2026”. Songs will be primarily ranked by order on the specified chart. If two or more songs are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the songs' listed titles. This market will resolve to the song that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.Ella Langley’s “Choosin’ Texas” commands trader consensus at 67% implied probability for the Billboard Hot 100 dated the week of September 12 because of its unmatched 19-week reign atop the chart through late August, sustained streaming dominance, radio airplay, and sales that have rewritten records for a female country lead. The track’s crossover momentum from Langley’s Dandelion album, including multiple distinct #1 runs and genre-first simultaneous chart sweeps, has created a durable buffer against newer releases. Morgan Wallen’s “Been By Now,” Stella Lefty’s “Boston,” and tracks from Taylor Swift and Ariana Grande sit at lower odds as they compete for incremental gains amid the incumbent’s strength, with the next chart lock and any late-summer streaming spikes serving as the key swing factors before September data finalizes.
Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”.
This market will resolve according to the number 1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled “Week of September 12, 2026”. Songs will be primarily ranked by order on the specified chart. If two or more songs are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the songs' listed titles. This market will resolve to the song that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.
This market will resolve according to the number 1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled “Week of September 12, 2026”. Songs will be primarily ranked by order on the specified chart. If two or more songs are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the songs' listed titles. This market will resolve to the song that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.
Volume
$92End Date
Sep 8, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 7:02 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ella Langley’s “Choosin’ Texas” commands trader consensus at 67% implied probability for the Billboard Hot 100 dated the week of September 12 because of its unmatched 19-week reign atop the chart through late August, sustained streaming dominance, radio airplay, and sales that have rewritten records for a female country lead. The track’s crossover momentum from Langley’s Dandelion album, including multiple distinct #1 runs and genre-first simultaneous chart sweeps, has created a durable buffer against newer releases. Morgan Wallen’s “Been By Now,” Stella Lefty’s “Boston,” and tracks from Taylor Swift and Ariana Grande sit at lower odds as they compete for incremental gains amid the incumbent’s strength, with the next chart lock and any late-summer streaming spikes serving as the key swing factors before September data finalizes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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