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icon for CMA Female Vocalist of the Year 2026

CMA Female Vocalist of the Year 2026

icon for CMA Female Vocalist of the Year 2026

CMA Female Vocalist of the Year 2026

Ella Langley 70%

Miranda Lambert 18%

Kacey Musgraves 3.3%

Lainey Wilson <1%

Polymarket
NEW

Ella Langley 70%

Miranda Lambert 18%

Kacey Musgraves 3.3%

Lainey Wilson <1%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Ella Langley

Ella Langley

$3,933 Vol.

70%

icon for Miranda Lambert

Miranda Lambert

$2,531 Vol.

18%

icon for Kacey Musgraves

Kacey Musgraves

$92 Vol.

3%

icon for Lainey Wilson

Lainey Wilson

$98 Vol.

8%

icon for Megan Moroney

Megan Moroney

$92 Vol.

7%

The Country Music Association Awards are presented annually by the Country Music Association (CMA) to honor outstanding achievement in country music. The 60th Annual Country Music Association Awards are currently scheduled for November 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed artist who wins the 60th Annual Country Music Association Award for Female Vocalist of the Year. If a listed artist is not officially nominated for the Country Music Association Award for Female Vocalist of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the tied winning artist whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the CMA Awards and the Country Music Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://cmaawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ella Langley’s nine CMA Award nominations, announced September 10, have driven her to 69.5% implied probability in the Female Vocalist of the Year market, fueled by the historic chart run of “Choosin’ Texas” and her sophomore album *Dandelion*. Nominees Miranda Lambert, Lainey Wilson, Megan Moroney, and Kacey Musgraves trail sharply, reflecting Langley’s commercial dominance and broad industry momentum this eligibility period. Wilson enters as four-time defending champion, while Lambert holds the category’s nomination record, yet neither matches Langley’s current single and album impact. The November 18 ceremony remains the key resolution point, with guild and precursor signals already aligning behind the Alabama breakout.

The Country Music Association Awards are presented annually by the Country Music Association (CMA) to honor outstanding achievement in country music. The 60th Annual Country Music Association Awards are currently scheduled for November 18, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed artist who wins the 60th Annual Country Music Association Award for Female Vocalist of the Year.

If a listed artist is not officially nominated for the Country Music Association Award for Female Vocalist of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the tied winning artist whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the CMA Awards and the Country Music Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://cmaawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Country Music Association Awards are presented annually by the Country Music Association (CMA) to honor outstanding achievement in country music. The 60th Annual Country Music Association Awards are currently scheduled for November 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed artist who wins the 60th Annual Country Music Association Award for Female Vocalist of the Year. If a listed artist is not officially nominated for the Country Music Association Award for Female Vocalist of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the tied winning artist whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the CMA Awards and the Country Music Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://cmaawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$6,745
End Date
Nov 19, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 17, 2026, 7:52 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Country Music Association Awards are presented annually by the Country Music Association (CMA) to honor outstanding achievement in country music. The 60th Annual Country Music Association Awards are currently scheduled for November 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed artist who wins the 60th Annual Country Music Association Award for Female Vocalist of the Year. If a listed artist is not officially nominated for the Country Music Association Award for Female Vocalist of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the tied winning artist whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the CMA Awards and the Country Music Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://cmaawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ella Langley’s nine CMA Award nominations, announced September 10, have driven her to 69.5% implied probability in the Female Vocalist of the Year market, fueled by the historic chart run of “Choosin’ Texas” and her sophomore album *Dandelion*. Nominees Miranda Lambert, Lainey Wilson, Megan Moroney, and Kacey Musgraves trail sharply, reflecting Langley’s commercial dominance and broad industry momentum this eligibility period. Wilson enters as four-time defending champion, while Lambert holds the category’s nomination record, yet neither matches Langley’s current single and album impact. The November 18 ceremony remains the key resolution point, with guild and precursor signals already aligning behind the Alabama breakout.

The Country Music Association Awards are presented annually by the Country Music Association (CMA) to honor outstanding achievement in country music. The 60th Annual Country Music Association Awards are currently scheduled for November 18, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed artist who wins the 60th Annual Country Music Association Award for Female Vocalist of the Year.

If a listed artist is not officially nominated for the Country Music Association Award for Female Vocalist of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the tied winning artist whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the CMA Awards and the Country Music Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://cmaawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Country Music Association Awards are presented annually by the Country Music Association (CMA) to honor outstanding achievement in country music. The 60th Annual Country Music Association Awards are currently scheduled for November 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed artist who wins the 60th Annual Country Music Association Award for Female Vocalist of the Year. If a listed artist is not officially nominated for the Country Music Association Award for Female Vocalist of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the tied winning artist whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the CMA Awards and the Country Music Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://cmaawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$6,745
End Date
Nov 19, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 17, 2026, 7:52 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"CMA Female Vocalist of the Year 2026" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Ella Langley" at 70%, followed by "Miranda Lambert" at 18%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 70¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 70% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"CMA Female Vocalist of the Year 2026" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Sep 17, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "CMA Female Vocalist of the Year 2026," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "CMA Female Vocalist of the Year 2026" is "Ella Langley" at 70%, meaning the market assigns a 70% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Miranda Lambert" at 18%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "CMA Female Vocalist of the Year 2026" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.