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Sports·Formula 1

Italian Grand Prix: Which Constructor Scores 1st?

icon for Italian Grand Prix: Which Constructor Scores 1st?
Sports·Formula 1

Italian Grand Prix: Which Constructor Scores 1st?

Tgr Haas 18%

Alpine 11%

Red Bull 11%

Racing Bulls 11%

Polymarket
NEW

Tgr Haas 18%

Alpine 11%

Red Bull 11%

Racing Bulls 11%

Polymarket
NEW

Tgr Haas

$125 Vol.

18%

Alpine

$0 Vol.

11%

Red Bull

$0 Vol.

11%

Racing Bulls

$0 Vol.

11%

Aston Martin

$36 Vol.

12%

Ferrari

$26 Vol.

25%

Cadillac

$113 Vol.

12%

Mclaren Mastercard

$8 Vol.

49%

Williams

$14 Vol.

26%

Audi Revolut

$30 Vol.

48%

Mercedes

$118 Vol.

51%

This market will resolve to the constructor who scored the most points for the specified session. For this market, the specified session is the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix, currently scheduled for Sep 6, 2026. Results from other sessions (e.g. sprints) will not count for this market. In the case of a tie between two teams for most points, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. As soon as the results for this event are known, this market will resolve. If the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Sep 13, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1 (F1).**McLaren’s recent upgrade-driven resurgence, Mercedes’ pace dip, and Ferrari’s planned power-unit evolution at Monza have created a razor-tight contest for the 2026 Italian Grand Prix win.** Norris has taken consecutive victories following McLaren’s post-Hungary development push, while Antonelli acknowledged after Zandvoort that the Silver Arrows no longer hold the outright fastest car amid cost-cap constraints limiting further development. Ferrari arrives with an ADUO-2 engine upgrade expected to deliver meaningful straight-line gains on Monza’s high-speed layout, where power and top-end speed are decisive. Antonelli’s engine penalty adds grid-position uncertainty for the championship leader. These converging factors—McLaren’s momentum, Mercedes’ relative vulnerability, and Ferrari’s targeted home boost—have compressed implied probabilities among the leading constructors, reflecting trader recognition of a genuinely open race.

This market will resolve to the constructor who scored the most points for the specified session.

For this market, the specified session is the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix, currently scheduled for Sep 6, 2026. Results from other sessions (e.g. sprints) will not count for this market.

In the case of a tie between two teams for most points, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.

As soon as the results for this event are known, this market will resolve.

If the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Sep 13, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1 (F1).
Volume
$470
End Date
Sep 13, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 8, 2026, 7:30 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/races

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the constructor who scored the most points for the specified session. For this market, the specified session is the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix, currently scheduled for Sep 6, 2026. Results from other sessions (e.g. sprints) will not count for this market. In the case of a tie between two teams for most points, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. As soon as the results for this event are known, this market will resolve. If the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Sep 13, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1 (F1).
This market will resolve to the constructor who scored the most points for the specified session. For this market, the specified session is the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix, currently scheduled for Sep 6, 2026. Results from other sessions (e.g. sprints) will not count for this market. In the case of a tie between two teams for most points, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. As soon as the results for this event are known, this market will resolve. If the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Sep 13, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1 (F1).**McLaren’s recent upgrade-driven resurgence, Mercedes’ pace dip, and Ferrari’s planned power-unit evolution at Monza have created a razor-tight contest for the 2026 Italian Grand Prix win.** Norris has taken consecutive victories following McLaren’s post-Hungary development push, while Antonelli acknowledged after Zandvoort that the Silver Arrows no longer hold the outright fastest car amid cost-cap constraints limiting further development. Ferrari arrives with an ADUO-2 engine upgrade expected to deliver meaningful straight-line gains on Monza’s high-speed layout, where power and top-end speed are decisive. Antonelli’s engine penalty adds grid-position uncertainty for the championship leader. These converging factors—McLaren’s momentum, Mercedes’ relative vulnerability, and Ferrari’s targeted home boost—have compressed implied probabilities among the leading constructors, reflecting trader recognition of a genuinely open race.

This market will resolve to the constructor who scored the most points for the specified session.

For this market, the specified session is the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix, currently scheduled for Sep 6, 2026. Results from other sessions (e.g. sprints) will not count for this market.

In the case of a tie between two teams for most points, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.

As soon as the results for this event are known, this market will resolve.

If the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Sep 13, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1 (F1).
Volume
$470
End Date
Sep 13, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 8, 2026, 7:30 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/races

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the constructor who scored the most points for the specified session. For this market, the specified session is the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix, currently scheduled for Sep 6, 2026. Results from other sessions (e.g. sprints) will not count for this market. In the case of a tie between two teams for most points, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. As soon as the results for this event are known, this market will resolve. If the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Sep 13, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1 (F1).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Italian Grand Prix: Which Constructor Scores 1st?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Mercedes" at 51%, followed by "Mclaren Mastercard" at 49%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 51¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 51% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Italian Grand Prix: Which Constructor Scores 1st?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 8, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Italian Grand Prix: Which Constructor Scores 1st?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Italian Grand Prix: Which Constructor Scores 1st?" is "Mercedes" at 51%, meaning the market assigns a 51% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Mclaren Mastercard" at 49%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Italian Grand Prix: Which Constructor Scores 1st?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.