The tight clustering of implied probabilities across a broad field of quarterbacks reflects the inherent variability of fantasy scoring in the 2026-27 NFL season. Josh Allen leads at 27.5% amid established volume in a high-powered offense, yet challengers like Lamar Jackson, Drake Maye, and Jalen Hurts sit close behind as traders weigh rushing upside, passing efficiency, and supporting casts. New offensive coordinators, potential injury recoveries, and rookie integrations for players such as Caleb Williams and Jayden Daniels add further uncertainty. Historical patterns show quarterback point totals often shift dramatically year to year due to schedule strength and usage changes, keeping the race wide open heading into the campaign.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedJoe Burrow 49%
Caleb Williams 48%
Jalen Hurts 47%
Drake Maye 44%
Joe Burrow
49%
Caleb Williams
48%
Jalen Hurts
47%
Drake Maye
44%
Josh Allen
28%
Trevor Lawrence
25%
Dak Prescott
25%
Mac Jones
25%
Jameis Winston
25%
Ty Simpson
25%
Anthony Richardson Sr.
25%
Jarrett Stidham
25%
Nick Mullens
25%
Jake Browning
25%
Tommy DeVito
25%
Tyson Bagent
25%
Jaxson Dart
25%
Brock Purdy
25%
Jared Goff
25%
Malik Willis
25%
Cam Ward
25%
C.J. Stroud
25%
Bryce Young
25%
J.J. McCarthy
25%
Kyler Murray
25%
Baker Mayfield
25%
Jordan Love
25%
Aaron Rodgers
25%
Joe Flacco
25%
Bo Nix
24%
Jacoby Brissett
24%
Michael Penix Jr.
24%
Carson Beck
24%
Justin Fields
24%
Sam Howell
24%
Matthew Stafford
24%
Patrick Mahomes
24%
Tyler Shough
24%
Daniel Jones
24%
Geno Smith
24%
Deshaun Watson
24%
Tua Tagovailoa
24%
Shedeur Sanders
24%
Kirk Cousins
24%
Justin Herbert
24%
Sam Darnold
24%
Fernando Mendoza
24%
Marcus Mariota
24%
Lamar Jackson
12%
Jayden Daniels
5%
Joe Burrow 49%
Caleb Williams 48%
Jalen Hurts 47%
Drake Maye 44%
Joe Burrow
49%
Caleb Williams
48%
Jalen Hurts
47%
Drake Maye
44%
Josh Allen
28%
Trevor Lawrence
25%
Dak Prescott
25%
Mac Jones
25%
Jameis Winston
25%
Ty Simpson
25%
Anthony Richardson Sr.
25%
Jarrett Stidham
25%
Nick Mullens
25%
Jake Browning
25%
Tommy DeVito
25%
Tyson Bagent
25%
Jaxson Dart
25%
Brock Purdy
25%
Jared Goff
25%
Malik Willis
25%
Cam Ward
25%
C.J. Stroud
25%
Bryce Young
25%
J.J. McCarthy
25%
Kyler Murray
25%
Baker Mayfield
25%
Jordan Love
25%
Aaron Rodgers
25%
Joe Flacco
25%
Bo Nix
24%
Jacoby Brissett
24%
Michael Penix Jr.
24%
Carson Beck
24%
Justin Fields
24%
Sam Howell
24%
Matthew Stafford
24%
Patrick Mahomes
24%
Tyler Shough
24%
Daniel Jones
24%
Geno Smith
24%
Deshaun Watson
24%
Tua Tagovailoa
24%
Shedeur Sanders
24%
Kirk Cousins
24%
Justin Herbert
24%
Sam Darnold
24%
Fernando Mendoza
24%
Marcus Mariota
24%
Lamar Jackson
12%
Jayden Daniels
5%
If two or more players are tied for the most total PPR fantasy points, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player that has a higher fantasy points per game average for the 2026 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player whose last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed past January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or a leader cannot be determined within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source will be official season-total statistics as reported by ESPN Fantasy Sports (https://www.espn.com/fantasy/).
Market Opened: Aug 7, 2026, 12:11 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.espn.com/fantasy/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If two or more players are tied for the most total PPR fantasy points, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player that has a higher fantasy points per game average for the 2026 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player whose last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed past January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or a leader cannot be determined within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source will be official season-total statistics as reported by ESPN Fantasy Sports (https://www.espn.com/fantasy/).
Resolution Source
https://www.espn.com/fantasy/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The tight clustering of implied probabilities across a broad field of quarterbacks reflects the inherent variability of fantasy scoring in the 2026-27 NFL season. Josh Allen leads at 27.5% amid established volume in a high-powered offense, yet challengers like Lamar Jackson, Drake Maye, and Jalen Hurts sit close behind as traders weigh rushing upside, passing efficiency, and supporting casts. New offensive coordinators, potential injury recoveries, and rookie integrations for players such as Caleb Williams and Jayden Daniels add further uncertainty. Historical patterns show quarterback point totals often shift dramatically year to year due to schedule strength and usage changes, keeping the race wide open heading into the campaign.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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