**Strong model consensus and official forecasts from Chongqing's meteorological authorities have locked in 38°C as the day's peak temperature.** Persistent influence from the subtropical high has maintained hot, mostly clear conditions across the region, with limited afternoon cloud cover and scattered showers in southern districts failing to suppress the maximum. Historical analogs from late August under similar pressure patterns routinely produce highs of 37–39°C, aligning closely with current observational trends and ensemble outputs. Real-time station data and nowcasts through the afternoon have shown no significant deviation, reinforcing trader confidence. The primary risk to this resolution remains a late-day measurement revision or localized cooling from unforecast convective activity, though both appear unlikely given the stable atmospheric setup.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chongqing on August 27?
38°C 100.0%
32°C or below <1%
33°C <1%
34°C <1%
$41,238 Vol.
$41,238 Vol.
32°C or below
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
Yes
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C
No
42°C or higher
No
38°C 100.0%
32°C or below <1%
33°C <1%
34°C <1%
$41,238 Vol.
$41,238 Vol.
32°C or below
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
Yes
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C
No
42°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
**Strong model consensus and official forecasts from Chongqing's meteorological authorities have locked in 38°C as the day's peak temperature.** Persistent influence from the subtropical high has maintained hot, mostly clear conditions across the region, with limited afternoon cloud cover and scattered showers in southern districts failing to suppress the maximum. Historical analogs from late August under similar pressure patterns routinely produce highs of 37–39°C, aligning closely with current observational trends and ensemble outputs. Real-time station data and nowcasts through the afternoon have shown no significant deviation, reinforcing trader confidence. The primary risk to this resolution remains a late-day measurement revision or localized cooling from unforecast convective activity, though both appear unlikely given the stable atmospheric setup.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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