Recent rainfall and influx of cooler northerly air associated with a strong precipitation event on August 28–29 have driven Chongqing’s overnight temperatures downward, positioning the 19 °C-or-below outcome as the market leader at 46 %. Official Chongqing Meteorological Station guidance and ensemble forecasts indicate a low near 20–22 °C for August 30, with clearer skies and light winds expected to allow radiational cooling under partly cloudy conditions. Historical August minima average around 26 °C, so this represents a notable negative departure. Traders appear to weigh the potential for further model cooling in the final forecast update against the risk of residual cloud cover limiting the drop, keeping probabilities clustered in the low-20 °C range while discounting higher outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Chongqing on August 30?
Lowest temperature in Chongqing on August 30?
19°C or below 92%
20°C 49%
24°C 49%
21°C 27%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
19°C or below
92%
20°C
49%
21°C
27%
22°C
27%
23°C
27%
24°C
49%
25°C
8%
26°C
8%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
11%
19°C or below 92%
20°C 49%
24°C 49%
21°C 27%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
19°C or below
$0 Vol.
92%
20°C
$0 Vol.
49%
21°C
$0 Vol.
27%
22°C
$0 Vol.
27%
23°C
$0 Vol.
27%
24°C
$0 Vol.
49%
25°C
$0 Vol.
8%
26°C
$0 Vol.
8%
27°C
$5 Vol.
2%
28°C
$5 Vol.
1%
29°C or higher
$5 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent rainfall and influx of cooler northerly air associated with a strong precipitation event on August 28–29 have driven Chongqing’s overnight temperatures downward, positioning the 19 °C-or-below outcome as the market leader at 46 %. Official Chongqing Meteorological Station guidance and ensemble forecasts indicate a low near 20–22 °C for August 30, with clearer skies and light winds expected to allow radiational cooling under partly cloudy conditions. Historical August minima average around 26 °C, so this represents a notable negative departure. Traders appear to weigh the potential for further model cooling in the final forecast update against the risk of residual cloud cover limiting the drop, keeping probabilities clustered in the low-20 °C range while discounting higher outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$15End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent rainfall and influx of cooler northerly air associated with a strong precipitation event on August 28–29 have driven Chongqing’s overnight temperatures downward, positioning the 19 °C-or-below outcome as the market leader at 46 %. Official Chongqing Meteorological Station guidance and ensemble forecasts indicate a low near 20–22 °C for August 30, with clearer skies and light winds expected to allow radiational cooling under partly cloudy conditions. Historical August minima average around 26 °C, so this represents a notable negative departure. Traders appear to weigh the potential for further model cooling in the final forecast update against the risk of residual cloud cover limiting the drop, keeping probabilities clustered in the low-20 °C range while discounting higher outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$15End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent rainfall and influx of cooler northerly air associated with a strong precipitation event on August 28–29 have driven Chongqing’s overnight temperatures downward, positioning the 19 °C-or-below outcome as the market leader at 46 %. Official Chongqing Meteorological Station guidance and ensemble forecasts indicate a low near 20–22 °C for August 30, with clearer skies and light winds expected to allow radiational cooling under partly cloudy conditions. Historical August minima average around 26 °C, so this represents a notable negative departure. Traders appear to weigh the potential for further model cooling in the final forecast update against the risk of residual cloud cover limiting the drop, keeping probabilities clustered in the low-20 °C range while discounting higher outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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