Recent forecast models from NOAA-aligned sources project Jeddah's August 31 minimum near 31–32°C, driven by persistent high pressure, light northwesterly winds, and warm Red Sea surface temperatures near 31°C that limit nocturnal cooling. High humidity around 45–60% further reduces radiative heat loss after sunset. The closely matched market probabilities around 32°C versus 35°C+ reflect uncertainty in exact cloud cover and wind variability, which can shift the daily low by 1–3°C. Historical August minima average 28–30°C, but this year's elevated baseline supports the current trader consensus on warmer overnight readings. Updated model runs ahead of resolution will clarify any late adjustments.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Jeddah on August 31?
Lowest temperature in Jeddah on August 31?
35°C or higher 58%
28°C 49%
29°C 49%
32°C 37%
NEW
NEW
Aug 31, 2026
25°C or below
7%
26°C
18%
27°C
20%
28°C
49%
29°C
49%
30°C
25%
31°C
20%
32°C
37%
33°C
28%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
58%
35°C or higher 58%
28°C 49%
29°C 49%
32°C 37%
NEW
NEW
Aug 31, 2026
25°C or below
$0 Vol.
7%
26°C
$0 Vol.
18%
27°C
$0 Vol.
20%
28°C
$0 Vol.
49%
29°C
$0 Vol.
49%
30°C
$0 Vol.
25%
31°C
$0 Vol.
20%
32°C
$0 Vol.
37%
33°C
$0 Vol.
28%
34°C
$0 Vol.
2%
35°C or higher
$0 Vol.
58%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from NOAA-aligned sources project Jeddah's August 31 minimum near 31–32°C, driven by persistent high pressure, light northwesterly winds, and warm Red Sea surface temperatures near 31°C that limit nocturnal cooling. High humidity around 45–60% further reduces radiative heat loss after sunset. The closely matched market probabilities around 32°C versus 35°C+ reflect uncertainty in exact cloud cover and wind variability, which can shift the daily low by 1–3°C. Historical August minima average 28–30°C, but this year's elevated baseline supports the current trader consensus on warmer overnight readings. Updated model runs ahead of resolution will clarify any late adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 29, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 29, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from NOAA-aligned sources project Jeddah's August 31 minimum near 31–32°C, driven by persistent high pressure, light northwesterly winds, and warm Red Sea surface temperatures near 31°C that limit nocturnal cooling. High humidity around 45–60% further reduces radiative heat loss after sunset. The closely matched market probabilities around 32°C versus 35°C+ reflect uncertainty in exact cloud cover and wind variability, which can shift the daily low by 1–3°C. Historical August minima average 28–30°C, but this year's elevated baseline supports the current trader consensus on warmer overnight readings. Updated model runs ahead of resolution will clarify any late adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 29, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from NOAA-aligned sources project Jeddah's August 31 minimum near 31–32°C, driven by persistent high pressure, light northwesterly winds, and warm Red Sea surface temperatures near 31°C that limit nocturnal cooling. High humidity around 45–60% further reduces radiative heat loss after sunset. The closely matched market probabilities around 32°C versus 35°C+ reflect uncertainty in exact cloud cover and wind variability, which can shift the daily low by 1–3°C. Historical August minima average 28–30°C, but this year's elevated baseline supports the current trader consensus on warmer overnight readings. Updated model runs ahead of resolution will clarify any late adjustments.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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