Forecast models indicate persistent cloud cover and scattered to moderate rainfall across Shenzhen on August 31, driven by the ongoing East Asian monsoon pattern typical of late summer in the region. These conditions limit daytime solar heating and promote evaporative cooling, keeping projected daily maxima tightly clustered between 29–32°C according to multiple agency runs. High humidity levels near 80% and light variable winds further dampen temperature extremes, while any breaks in precipitation or localized convective activity could push readings slightly higher. This scientific uncertainty in rainfall timing and intensity underpins the market's near-even distribution across the 28–32°C range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Shenzhen on August 31?
29°C 35%
31°C 22%
32°C 20%
30°C 18%
24°C or below
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
10%
29°C
35%
30°C
18%
31°C
22%
32°C
20%
33°C
7%
34°C or higher
1%
29°C 35%
31°C 22%
32°C 20%
30°C 18%
24°C or below
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
10%
29°C
35%
30°C
18%
31°C
22%
32°C
20%
33°C
7%
34°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models indicate persistent cloud cover and scattered to moderate rainfall across Shenzhen on August 31, driven by the ongoing East Asian monsoon pattern typical of late summer in the region. These conditions limit daytime solar heating and promote evaporative cooling, keeping projected daily maxima tightly clustered between 29–32°C according to multiple agency runs. High humidity levels near 80% and light variable winds further dampen temperature extremes, while any breaks in precipitation or localized convective activity could push readings slightly higher. This scientific uncertainty in rainfall timing and intensity underpins the market's near-even distribution across the 28–32°C range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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