Recent weather model consensus from sources including NOAA analogs and regional forecasts points to a Qingdao high of 29–31°C on August 31, driven by partly cloudy skies, moderate northeasterly flow off the Yellow Sea, and typical late-August subsidence that limits daytime heating while suppressing strong convection. Current observations show temperatures near 28–30°C amid a cooling trend from earlier showers, with dew points around 20–23°C supporting comfortable humidity levels rather than extreme peaks. This positions the market’s leading 30°C outcome as reflecting the narrow uncertainty band in short-range guidance, where small shifts in cloud cover or wind strength could tip the daily maximum by 1–2°C before final resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Qingdao on August 31?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on August 31?
30°C 29%
31°C 27%
29°C 26%
32°C 16%
NEW
NEW
Aug 31, 2026
25°C or below
1%
26°C
4%
27°C
4%
28°C
12%
29°C
26%
30°C
37%
31°C
27%
32°C
16%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 29%
31°C 27%
29°C 26%
32°C 16%
NEW
NEW
Aug 31, 2026
25°C or below
$0 Vol.
1%
26°C
$0 Vol.
4%
27°C
$0 Vol.
4%
28°C
$0 Vol.
12%
29°C
$0 Vol.
26%
30°C
$123 Vol.
37%
31°C
$38 Vol.
27%
32°C
$15 Vol.
16%
33°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
35°C or higher
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent weather model consensus from sources including NOAA analogs and regional forecasts points to a Qingdao high of 29–31°C on August 31, driven by partly cloudy skies, moderate northeasterly flow off the Yellow Sea, and typical late-August subsidence that limits daytime heating while suppressing strong convection. Current observations show temperatures near 28–30°C amid a cooling trend from earlier showers, with dew points around 20–23°C supporting comfortable humidity levels rather than extreme peaks. This positions the market’s leading 30°C outcome as reflecting the narrow uncertainty band in short-range guidance, where small shifts in cloud cover or wind strength could tip the daily maximum by 1–2°C before final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$175End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent weather model consensus from sources including NOAA analogs and regional forecasts points to a Qingdao high of 29–31°C on August 31, driven by partly cloudy skies, moderate northeasterly flow off the Yellow Sea, and typical late-August subsidence that limits daytime heating while suppressing strong convection. Current observations show temperatures near 28–30°C amid a cooling trend from earlier showers, with dew points around 20–23°C supporting comfortable humidity levels rather than extreme peaks. This positions the market’s leading 30°C outcome as reflecting the narrow uncertainty band in short-range guidance, where small shifts in cloud cover or wind strength could tip the daily maximum by 1–2°C before final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$175End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent weather model consensus from sources including NOAA analogs and regional forecasts points to a Qingdao high of 29–31°C on August 31, driven by partly cloudy skies, moderate northeasterly flow off the Yellow Sea, and typical late-August subsidence that limits daytime heating while suppressing strong convection. Current observations show temperatures near 28–30°C amid a cooling trend from earlier showers, with dew points around 20–23°C supporting comfortable humidity levels rather than extreme peaks. This positions the market’s leading 30°C outcome as reflecting the narrow uncertainty band in short-range guidance, where small shifts in cloud cover or wind strength could tip the daily maximum by 1–2°C before final resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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