Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a 28–33°C range for August 28, with sunny periods supporting the upper end under subsiding air from nearby Tropical Cyclone Saudel, though scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms could limit peak heating. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 31–33°C because ensemble guidance shows modest model spread in afternoon insolation and boundary-layer moisture; clearer skies would favor 33°C or higher via greater solar absorption, while increased convective cloud or earlier rain would cap readings near 31°C. Humidity levels of 65–95% and light west-southwest winds further influence realized maxima by modulating evaporative cooling and heat index, with the final observed peak at the Observatory station determining resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 28?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 28?
32°C 32%
31°C 27%
33°C 21%
30°C 12%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
12%
31°C
27%
32°C
32%
33°C
21%
34°C
7%
35°C or higher
1%
32°C 32%
31°C 27%
33°C 21%
30°C 12%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
25°C or below
$214 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$210 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$196 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$664 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$1,554 Vol.
1%
30°C
$47 Vol.
12%
31°C
$49 Vol.
27%
32°C
$1,063 Vol.
32%
33°C
$152 Vol.
21%
34°C
$140 Vol.
7%
35°C or higher
$210 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a 28–33°C range for August 28, with sunny periods supporting the upper end under subsiding air from nearby Tropical Cyclone Saudel, though scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms could limit peak heating. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 31–33°C because ensemble guidance shows modest model spread in afternoon insolation and boundary-layer moisture; clearer skies would favor 33°C or higher via greater solar absorption, while increased convective cloud or earlier rain would cap readings near 31°C. Humidity levels of 65–95% and light west-southwest winds further influence realized maxima by modulating evaporative cooling and heat index, with the final observed peak at the Observatory station determining resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$4,499End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a 28–33°C range for August 28, with sunny periods supporting the upper end under subsiding air from nearby Tropical Cyclone Saudel, though scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms could limit peak heating. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 31–33°C because ensemble guidance shows modest model spread in afternoon insolation and boundary-layer moisture; clearer skies would favor 33°C or higher via greater solar absorption, while increased convective cloud or earlier rain would cap readings near 31°C. Humidity levels of 65–95% and light west-southwest winds further influence realized maxima by modulating evaporative cooling and heat index, with the final observed peak at the Observatory station determining resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$4,499End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a 28–33°C range for August 28, with sunny periods supporting the upper end under subsiding air from nearby Tropical Cyclone Saudel, though scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms could limit peak heating. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 31–33°C because ensemble guidance shows modest model spread in afternoon insolation and boundary-layer moisture; clearer skies would favor 33°C or higher via greater solar absorption, while increased convective cloud or earlier rain would cap readings near 31°C. Humidity levels of 65–95% and light west-southwest winds further influence realized maxima by modulating evaporative cooling and heat index, with the final observed peak at the Observatory station determining resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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