The market's overwhelming consensus on 26°C reflects the Hong Kong Observatory's official daily minimum temperature observation for August 26, 2026, which recorded exactly that value amid widespread rain and overcast conditions that suppressed overnight cooling. This aligns with regional reports showing nighttime lows stabilizing near 26°C under high humidity and light winds, consistent with climatological patterns for late August in the subtropical environment. Trader positioning incorporates the authority of HKO data as the resolution benchmark, with minimal uncertainty once verified measurements are released. Scenarios that could challenge this outcome remain limited but include potential post-event data revisions, differences across monitoring stations, or adjustments to the precise 24-hour reporting window, though such changes are infrequent for established meteorological records.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 26?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 26?
26°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$51,681 Vol.
$51,681 Vol.
Aug 26, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
100%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
26°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$51,681 Vol.
$51,681 Vol.
Aug 26, 2026
22°C or below
$233 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$1,757 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$3,094 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$3,464 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$8,089 Vol.
100%
27°C
$2,978 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$2,914 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$3,575 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$9,029 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$9,376 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$7,173 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The market's overwhelming consensus on 26°C reflects the Hong Kong Observatory's official daily minimum temperature observation for August 26, 2026, which recorded exactly that value amid widespread rain and overcast conditions that suppressed overnight cooling. This aligns with regional reports showing nighttime lows stabilizing near 26°C under high humidity and light winds, consistent with climatological patterns for late August in the subtropical environment. Trader positioning incorporates the authority of HKO data as the resolution benchmark, with minimal uncertainty once verified measurements are released. Scenarios that could challenge this outcome remain limited but include potential post-event data revisions, differences across monitoring stations, or adjustments to the precise 24-hour reporting window, though such changes are infrequent for established meteorological records.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$51,681End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The market's overwhelming consensus on 26°C reflects the Hong Kong Observatory's official daily minimum temperature observation for August 26, 2026, which recorded exactly that value amid widespread rain and overcast conditions that suppressed overnight cooling. This aligns with regional reports showing nighttime lows stabilizing near 26°C under high humidity and light winds, consistent with climatological patterns for late August in the subtropical environment. Trader positioning incorporates the authority of HKO data as the resolution benchmark, with minimal uncertainty once verified measurements are released. Scenarios that could challenge this outcome remain limited but include potential post-event data revisions, differences across monitoring stations, or adjustments to the precise 24-hour reporting window, though such changes are infrequent for established meteorological records.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$51,681End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The market's overwhelming consensus on 26°C reflects the Hong Kong Observatory's official daily minimum temperature observation for August 26, 2026, which recorded exactly that value amid widespread rain and overcast conditions that suppressed overnight cooling. This aligns with regional reports showing nighttime lows stabilizing near 26°C under high humidity and light winds, consistent with climatological patterns for late August in the subtropical environment. Trader positioning incorporates the authority of HKO data as the resolution benchmark, with minimal uncertainty once verified measurements are released. Scenarios that could challenge this outcome remain limited but include potential post-event data revisions, differences across monitoring stations, or adjustments to the precise 24-hour reporting window, though such changes are infrequent for established meteorological records.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions