Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological authorities and international models converge on a peak of 30–31°C for Beijing on August 27, 2026, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 70–80%, and light variable winds that limit surface heating and promote mixing. Overcast skies and possible light drizzle or showers, tied to a weak frontal influence, have capped daytime insolation and kept observed temperatures in the upper 20s through midday. Historical climatology places the August 27 average high near 28–29°C, but recent model runs show modest warming potential if breaks in cloud occur during peak solar hours. Market sentiment clusters tightly around 30–31°C because resolution hinges on the official daily maximum from Beijing’s primary station, where small differences in timing or localized clearing can shift the outcome between these bins.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Beijing on August 27?
31°C 45%
30°C 28%
32°C 15%
29°C 11%
$36,063 Vol.
$36,063 Vol.
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
11%
30°C
28%
31°C
45%
32°C
15%
33°C
3%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
1%
31°C 45%
30°C 28%
32°C 15%
29°C 11%
$36,063 Vol.
$36,063 Vol.
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
11%
30°C
28%
31°C
45%
32°C
15%
33°C
3%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological authorities and international models converge on a peak of 30–31°C for Beijing on August 27, 2026, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 70–80%, and light variable winds that limit surface heating and promote mixing. Overcast skies and possible light drizzle or showers, tied to a weak frontal influence, have capped daytime insolation and kept observed temperatures in the upper 20s through midday. Historical climatology places the August 27 average high near 28–29°C, but recent model runs show modest warming potential if breaks in cloud occur during peak solar hours. Market sentiment clusters tightly around 30–31°C because resolution hinges on the official daily maximum from Beijing’s primary station, where small differences in timing or localized clearing can shift the outcome between these bins.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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