Strong northerly flow ahead of an approaching trough has driven Wellington's daytime maximum to 14°C on August 27, with official MetService guidance, multiple model runs, and station observations converging on this value under mostly cloudy skies and light rain. Historical August averages near 13–15°C and the absence of clear-sky warming or cold-air advection reinforce the narrow outcome band, producing the 99.3% market-implied probability. Late-day wind shifts or localized measurement discrepancies at the official site could still nudge the recorded high, though current conditions make deviations to 13°C or 15°C improbable before midnight.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wellington on August 27?
Highest temperature in Wellington on August 27?
14°C 98.0%
15°C 1.7%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
$100,223 Vol.
$100,223 Vol.
Aug 27, 2026
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
98%
15°C
2%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
14°C 98.0%
15°C 1.7%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
$100,223 Vol.
$100,223 Vol.
Aug 27, 2026
8°C or below
$1,294 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$244 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$568 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$1,907 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$22,712 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$21,970 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$21,576 Vol.
98%
15°C
$21,851 Vol.
2%
16°C
$6,305 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$1,524 Vol.
<1%
18°C or higher
$393 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong northerly flow ahead of an approaching trough has driven Wellington's daytime maximum to 14°C on August 27, with official MetService guidance, multiple model runs, and station observations converging on this value under mostly cloudy skies and light rain. Historical August averages near 13–15°C and the absence of clear-sky warming or cold-air advection reinforce the narrow outcome band, producing the 99.3% market-implied probability. Late-day wind shifts or localized measurement discrepancies at the official site could still nudge the recorded high, though current conditions make deviations to 13°C or 15°C improbable before midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$100,223End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong northerly flow ahead of an approaching trough has driven Wellington's daytime maximum to 14°C on August 27, with official MetService guidance, multiple model runs, and station observations converging on this value under mostly cloudy skies and light rain. Historical August averages near 13–15°C and the absence of clear-sky warming or cold-air advection reinforce the narrow outcome band, producing the 99.3% market-implied probability. Late-day wind shifts or localized measurement discrepancies at the official site could still nudge the recorded high, though current conditions make deviations to 13°C or 15°C improbable before midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$100,223End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Strong northerly flow ahead of an approaching trough has driven Wellington's daytime maximum to 14°C on August 27, with official MetService guidance, multiple model runs, and station observations converging on this value under mostly cloudy skies and light rain. Historical August averages near 13–15°C and the absence of clear-sky warming or cold-air advection reinforce the narrow outcome band, producing the 99.3% market-implied probability. Late-day wind shifts or localized measurement discrepancies at the official site could still nudge the recorded high, though current conditions make deviations to 13°C or 15°C improbable before midnight.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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