**Persistent cloud cover and widespread rainfall on August 27 are moderating daytime heating in Shenzhen, keeping the daily maximum temperature centered around 30°C.** Official forecasts from the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau and multiple international models indicate a high of 30–31°C amid overcast skies, scattered thunderstorms, and locally heavy rain, with observed temperatures hovering near 28°C midday under southeasterly flow. These conditions suppress solar insolation and promote evaporative cooling, preventing the stronger warming typical of late-August subtropical monsoon patterns when clear skies often allow highs near the 32°C climatological average. Recent model consensus and real-time observations reinforce the narrow 29–31°C window, explaining why traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 30°C (45.5%) and adjacent outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Shenzhen on August 27?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on August 27?
30°C 43%
29°C 28%
31°C 20%
32°C 7%
$17,029 Vol.
$17,029 Vol.
Aug 27, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
28%
30°C
43%
31°C
20%
32°C
7%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 43%
29°C 28%
31°C 20%
32°C 7%
$17,029 Vol.
$17,029 Vol.
Aug 27, 2026
25°C or below
$479 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$639 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$604 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$2,371 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$3,192 Vol.
28%
30°C
$3,482 Vol.
43%
31°C
$1,996 Vol.
20%
32°C
$1,133 Vol.
7%
33°C
$1,540 Vol.
1%
34°C
$1,336 Vol.
<1%
35°C or higher
$257 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent cloud cover and widespread rainfall on August 27 are moderating daytime heating in Shenzhen, keeping the daily maximum temperature centered around 30°C.** Official forecasts from the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau and multiple international models indicate a high of 30–31°C amid overcast skies, scattered thunderstorms, and locally heavy rain, with observed temperatures hovering near 28°C midday under southeasterly flow. These conditions suppress solar insolation and promote evaporative cooling, preventing the stronger warming typical of late-August subtropical monsoon patterns when clear skies often allow highs near the 32°C climatological average. Recent model consensus and real-time observations reinforce the narrow 29–31°C window, explaining why traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 30°C (45.5%) and adjacent outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$17,029End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent cloud cover and widespread rainfall on August 27 are moderating daytime heating in Shenzhen, keeping the daily maximum temperature centered around 30°C.** Official forecasts from the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau and multiple international models indicate a high of 30–31°C amid overcast skies, scattered thunderstorms, and locally heavy rain, with observed temperatures hovering near 28°C midday under southeasterly flow. These conditions suppress solar insolation and promote evaporative cooling, preventing the stronger warming typical of late-August subtropical monsoon patterns when clear skies often allow highs near the 32°C climatological average. Recent model consensus and real-time observations reinforce the narrow 29–31°C window, explaining why traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 30°C (45.5%) and adjacent outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$17,029End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent cloud cover and widespread rainfall on August 27 are moderating daytime heating in Shenzhen, keeping the daily maximum temperature centered around 30°C.** Official forecasts from the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau and multiple international models indicate a high of 30–31°C amid overcast skies, scattered thunderstorms, and locally heavy rain, with observed temperatures hovering near 28°C midday under southeasterly flow. These conditions suppress solar insolation and promote evaporative cooling, preventing the stronger warming typical of late-August subtropical monsoon patterns when clear skies often allow highs near the 32°C climatological average. Recent model consensus and real-time observations reinforce the narrow 29–31°C window, explaining why traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 30°C (45.5%) and adjacent outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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