Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological services converge on a daily maximum of 32–34°C for Shenzhen on August 28, with trader sentiment clustering on 32°C (29.5%) and 33°C (26.5%) reflecting uncertainty in peak timing amid scattered thunderstorms and persistent high humidity near 80–90%. Subtropical summer conditions favor strong diurnal heating under partly cloudy skies, yet afternoon convective activity—driven by monsoon moisture and sea-breeze convergence—can limit insolation and cap temperatures near 32°C or allow brief clearing to reach 33–34°C. Model spreads hinge on rainfall onset and cloud fraction, with historical late-August baselines near 32°C underscoring sensitivity to short-term steering patterns and local boundary-layer moisture.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Shenzhen on August 28?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on August 28?
32°C 30%
33°C 26%
31°C 21%
34°C 12%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
3%
30°C
9%
31°C
21%
32°C
30%
33°C
26%
34°C
12%
35°C
3%
36°C or higher
<1%
32°C 30%
33°C 26%
31°C 21%
34°C 12%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
26°C or below
$708 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$539 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$195 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$334 Vol.
3%
30°C
$192 Vol.
9%
31°C
$251 Vol.
21%
32°C
$53 Vol.
30%
33°C
$446 Vol.
26%
34°C
$165 Vol.
12%
35°C
$407 Vol.
3%
36°C or higher
$348 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological services converge on a daily maximum of 32–34°C for Shenzhen on August 28, with trader sentiment clustering on 32°C (29.5%) and 33°C (26.5%) reflecting uncertainty in peak timing amid scattered thunderstorms and persistent high humidity near 80–90%. Subtropical summer conditions favor strong diurnal heating under partly cloudy skies, yet afternoon convective activity—driven by monsoon moisture and sea-breeze convergence—can limit insolation and cap temperatures near 32°C or allow brief clearing to reach 33–34°C. Model spreads hinge on rainfall onset and cloud fraction, with historical late-August baselines near 32°C underscoring sensitivity to short-term steering patterns and local boundary-layer moisture.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$3,638End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological services converge on a daily maximum of 32–34°C for Shenzhen on August 28, with trader sentiment clustering on 32°C (29.5%) and 33°C (26.5%) reflecting uncertainty in peak timing amid scattered thunderstorms and persistent high humidity near 80–90%. Subtropical summer conditions favor strong diurnal heating under partly cloudy skies, yet afternoon convective activity—driven by monsoon moisture and sea-breeze convergence—can limit insolation and cap temperatures near 32°C or allow brief clearing to reach 33–34°C. Model spreads hinge on rainfall onset and cloud fraction, with historical late-August baselines near 32°C underscoring sensitivity to short-term steering patterns and local boundary-layer moisture.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,638End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological services converge on a daily maximum of 32–34°C for Shenzhen on August 28, with trader sentiment clustering on 32°C (29.5%) and 33°C (26.5%) reflecting uncertainty in peak timing amid scattered thunderstorms and persistent high humidity near 80–90%. Subtropical summer conditions favor strong diurnal heating under partly cloudy skies, yet afternoon convective activity—driven by monsoon moisture and sea-breeze convergence—can limit insolation and cap temperatures near 32°C or allow brief clearing to reach 33–34°C. Model spreads hinge on rainfall onset and cloud fraction, with historical late-August baselines near 32°C underscoring sensitivity to short-term steering patterns and local boundary-layer moisture.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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