Recent model consensus from Météo-France and European ensembles shows an unstable, humid air mass over northern France, with daytime heating fueling scattered afternoon thunderstorms that limit full insolation and cap the maximum. Official guidance centers on 28–29 °C peaks depending on storm timing and cloud breaks, slightly above the late-August climatological normal near 24 °C. Traders weigh the narrow gap between these outcomes against variables such as boundary-layer moisture, surface wind shifts, and urban heat retention, which can shift the daily high by 1 °C. New radar and short-range guidance updates through the afternoon will refine resolution odds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Paris on August 27?
Highest temperature in Paris on August 27?
28°C 33%
29°C 27%
27°C 16%
26°C 10%
NEW
$88,644 Vol.
NEW
$88,644 Vol.
Aug 27, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
4%
25°C
6%
26°C
10%
27°C
16%
28°C
33%
29°C
27%
30°C or higher
10%
28°C 33%
29°C 27%
27°C 16%
26°C 10%
NEW
$88,644 Vol.
NEW
$88,644 Vol.
Aug 27, 2026
20°C or below
$460 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$1,423 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$14,875 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$15,121 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$7,930 Vol.
4%
25°C
$9,961 Vol.
6%
26°C
$9,611 Vol.
10%
27°C
$8,681 Vol.
16%
28°C
$7,162 Vol.
33%
29°C
$7,904 Vol.
27%
30°C or higher
$5,517 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from Météo-France and European ensembles shows an unstable, humid air mass over northern France, with daytime heating fueling scattered afternoon thunderstorms that limit full insolation and cap the maximum. Official guidance centers on 28–29 °C peaks depending on storm timing and cloud breaks, slightly above the late-August climatological normal near 24 °C. Traders weigh the narrow gap between these outcomes against variables such as boundary-layer moisture, surface wind shifts, and urban heat retention, which can shift the daily high by 1 °C. New radar and short-range guidance updates through the afternoon will refine resolution odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$88,644End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from Météo-France and European ensembles shows an unstable, humid air mass over northern France, with daytime heating fueling scattered afternoon thunderstorms that limit full insolation and cap the maximum. Official guidance centers on 28–29 °C peaks depending on storm timing and cloud breaks, slightly above the late-August climatological normal near 24 °C. Traders weigh the narrow gap between these outcomes against variables such as boundary-layer moisture, surface wind shifts, and urban heat retention, which can shift the daily high by 1 °C. New radar and short-range guidance updates through the afternoon will refine resolution odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$88,644End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from Météo-France and European ensembles shows an unstable, humid air mass over northern France, with daytime heating fueling scattered afternoon thunderstorms that limit full insolation and cap the maximum. Official guidance centers on 28–29 °C peaks depending on storm timing and cloud breaks, slightly above the late-August climatological normal near 24 °C. Traders weigh the narrow gap between these outcomes against variables such as boundary-layer moisture, surface wind shifts, and urban heat retention, which can shift the daily high by 1 °C. New radar and short-range guidance updates through the afternoon will refine resolution odds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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