Current forecast models for Panama City, Panama, indicate a minimum temperature near 25–26°C on August 28 amid the wet season’s typical convective activity and high humidity. Widespread showers and thunderstorms, driven by seasonal moisture and light steering winds, are expected to limit daytime heating while maintaining elevated overnight lows through cloud cover and reduced radiational cooling. Recent model consensus from regional guidance shows little deviation from climatological norms for late August, where daily minima often range 24–27°C. This tight clustering around 26°C explains the leading market-implied odds at 46 percent, with nearby outcomes reflecting uncertainty in exact rainfall timing and intensity that could nudge the low by 1–2°C. Final NHC and local meteorological updates overnight will refine the resolution threshold.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Panama City on August 28?
23°C 78%
22°C 77%
20°C or below 52%
30°C or higher 51%
20°C or below
52%
21°C
32%
22°C
77%
23°C
78%
24°C
50%
25°C
30%
26°C
46%
27°C
26%
28°C
50%
29°C
50%
30°C or higher
51%
23°C 78%
22°C 77%
20°C or below 52%
30°C or higher 51%
20°C or below
52%
21°C
32%
22°C
77%
23°C
78%
24°C
50%
25°C
30%
26°C
46%
27°C
26%
28°C
50%
29°C
50%
30°C or higher
51%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models for Panama City, Panama, indicate a minimum temperature near 25–26°C on August 28 amid the wet season’s typical convective activity and high humidity. Widespread showers and thunderstorms, driven by seasonal moisture and light steering winds, are expected to limit daytime heating while maintaining elevated overnight lows through cloud cover and reduced radiational cooling. Recent model consensus from regional guidance shows little deviation from climatological norms for late August, where daily minima often range 24–27°C. This tight clustering around 26°C explains the leading market-implied odds at 46 percent, with nearby outcomes reflecting uncertainty in exact rainfall timing and intensity that could nudge the low by 1–2°C. Final NHC and local meteorological updates overnight will refine the resolution threshold.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions