Recent forecasts indicate overnight lows for Houston on August 28 will likely settle in the upper 70s to low 80s, shaped by elevated dew points near 75°F that restrict radiational cooling under humid subtropical air. Scattered afternoon thunderstorms and variable cloud cover from lingering moisture may further moderate the minimum depending on timing and coverage, while light winds limit mixing. Model runs show minor divergence on exact clearing overnight, producing the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 76–81°F as traders weigh these standard late-August factors against historical baselines near 76°F.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Houston on August 28?
Lowest temperature in Houston on August 28?
76-77°F 50%
86°F or higher 33%
78-79°F 28%
80-81°F 28%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
67°F or below
3%
68-69°F
2%
70-71°F
19%
72-73°F
9%
74-75°F
25%
76-77°F
28%
78-79°F
28%
80-81°F
28%
82-83°F
24%
84-85°F
2%
86°F or higher
33%
76-77°F 50%
86°F or higher 33%
78-79°F 28%
80-81°F 28%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
67°F or below
$5 Vol.
3%
68-69°F
$11 Vol.
2%
70-71°F
$71 Vol.
19%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
9%
74-75°F
$19 Vol.
25%
76-77°F
$20 Vol.
28%
78-79°F
$0 Vol.
28%
80-81°F
$0 Vol.
28%
82-83°F
$0 Vol.
24%
84-85°F
$0 Vol.
2%
86°F or higher
$10 Vol.
33%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts indicate overnight lows for Houston on August 28 will likely settle in the upper 70s to low 80s, shaped by elevated dew points near 75°F that restrict radiational cooling under humid subtropical air. Scattered afternoon thunderstorms and variable cloud cover from lingering moisture may further moderate the minimum depending on timing and coverage, while light winds limit mixing. Model runs show minor divergence on exact clearing overnight, producing the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 76–81°F as traders weigh these standard late-August factors against historical baselines near 76°F.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Volume
$136End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts indicate overnight lows for Houston on August 28 will likely settle in the upper 70s to low 80s, shaped by elevated dew points near 75°F that restrict radiational cooling under humid subtropical air. Scattered afternoon thunderstorms and variable cloud cover from lingering moisture may further moderate the minimum depending on timing and coverage, while light winds limit mixing. Model runs show minor divergence on exact clearing overnight, producing the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 76–81°F as traders weigh these standard late-August factors against historical baselines near 76°F.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$136End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts indicate overnight lows for Houston on August 28 will likely settle in the upper 70s to low 80s, shaped by elevated dew points near 75°F that restrict radiational cooling under humid subtropical air. Scattered afternoon thunderstorms and variable cloud cover from lingering moisture may further moderate the minimum depending on timing and coverage, while light winds limit mixing. Model runs show minor divergence on exact clearing overnight, producing the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 76–81°F as traders weigh these standard late-August factors against historical baselines near 76°F.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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