Recent forecasts from the Chengdu Meteorological Observatory and international models indicate a high of 32–34°C on August 27, driven by increasing cloud cover, scattered showers or thunderstorms, and a post-heatwave cooling trend that limits solar insolation and promotes evaporative cooling. Earlier in the week, parts of the city reached 39°C under clearer skies, but atmospheric moisture and expected precipitation today are expected to cap temperatures below recent peaks. Market-implied probabilities favoring 35–37°C likely reflect residual uncertainty around rainfall timing and intensity, with resolution depending on official station readings at the end of the day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chengdu on August 27?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on August 27?
36°C 42%
37°C 30%
35°C 23%
34°C 6%
NEW
$14,977 Vol.
NEW
$14,977 Vol.
Aug 27, 2026
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
3%
34°C
6%
35°C
23%
36°C
42%
37°C
30%
38°C
3%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
36°C 42%
37°C 30%
35°C 23%
34°C 6%
NEW
$14,977 Vol.
NEW
$14,977 Vol.
Aug 27, 2026
30°C or below
$705 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$624 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$1,647 Vol.
1%
33°C
$1,245 Vol.
3%
34°C
$1,361 Vol.
6%
35°C
$1,868 Vol.
23%
36°C
$1,545 Vol.
42%
37°C
$1,549 Vol.
30%
38°C
$3,148 Vol.
3%
39°C
$485 Vol.
<1%
40°C or higher
$800 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Chengdu Meteorological Observatory and international models indicate a high of 32–34°C on August 27, driven by increasing cloud cover, scattered showers or thunderstorms, and a post-heatwave cooling trend that limits solar insolation and promotes evaporative cooling. Earlier in the week, parts of the city reached 39°C under clearer skies, but atmospheric moisture and expected precipitation today are expected to cap temperatures below recent peaks. Market-implied probabilities favoring 35–37°C likely reflect residual uncertainty around rainfall timing and intensity, with resolution depending on official station readings at the end of the day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$14,977End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Chengdu Meteorological Observatory and international models indicate a high of 32–34°C on August 27, driven by increasing cloud cover, scattered showers or thunderstorms, and a post-heatwave cooling trend that limits solar insolation and promotes evaporative cooling. Earlier in the week, parts of the city reached 39°C under clearer skies, but atmospheric moisture and expected precipitation today are expected to cap temperatures below recent peaks. Market-implied probabilities favoring 35–37°C likely reflect residual uncertainty around rainfall timing and intensity, with resolution depending on official station readings at the end of the day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$14,977End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Chengdu Meteorological Observatory and international models indicate a high of 32–34°C on August 27, driven by increasing cloud cover, scattered showers or thunderstorms, and a post-heatwave cooling trend that limits solar insolation and promotes evaporative cooling. Earlier in the week, parts of the city reached 39°C under clearer skies, but atmospheric moisture and expected precipitation today are expected to cap temperatures below recent peaks. Market-implied probabilities favoring 35–37°C likely reflect residual uncertainty around rainfall timing and intensity, with resolution depending on official station readings at the end of the day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions