Official forecasts from the Chengdu Meteorological Station and international models indicate persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and moderate rainfall on August 28, limiting solar insolation and capping daytime heating. Recent model consensus points to a maximum of 31–33°C under these conditions, down from peaks near 39°C earlier in the week when clearer skies prevailed. Thunderstorm outflows and higher humidity further moderate surface temperatures by enhancing evaporative cooling and reducing the boundary-layer mixing that drives extreme heat. With resolution hinging on the official daily high reported by local authorities, traders appear to weigh the probability of brief clear intervals allowing a brief spike toward 34–35°C against the more likely rain-suppressed range around 32°C. Updated CMA guidance and next-day observations will refine these odds before market close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chengdu on August 28?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on August 28?
35°C or higher 26%
33°C 22%
34°C 19%
32°C 13%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
2%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
5%
30°C
3%
31°C
10%
32°C
13%
33°C
22%
34°C
19%
35°C or higher
26%
35°C or higher 26%
33°C 22%
34°C 19%
32°C 13%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
25°C or below
$273 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$5 Vol.
2%
27°C
$50 Vol.
1%
28°C
$52 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$8 Vol.
5%
30°C
$381 Vol.
3%
31°C
$257 Vol.
10%
32°C
$719 Vol.
13%
33°C
$335 Vol.
22%
34°C
$1,834 Vol.
19%
35°C or higher
$947 Vol.
26%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Chengdu Meteorological Station and international models indicate persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and moderate rainfall on August 28, limiting solar insolation and capping daytime heating. Recent model consensus points to a maximum of 31–33°C under these conditions, down from peaks near 39°C earlier in the week when clearer skies prevailed. Thunderstorm outflows and higher humidity further moderate surface temperatures by enhancing evaporative cooling and reducing the boundary-layer mixing that drives extreme heat. With resolution hinging on the official daily high reported by local authorities, traders appear to weigh the probability of brief clear intervals allowing a brief spike toward 34–35°C against the more likely rain-suppressed range around 32°C. Updated CMA guidance and next-day observations will refine these odds before market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$4,861End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Chengdu Meteorological Station and international models indicate persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and moderate rainfall on August 28, limiting solar insolation and capping daytime heating. Recent model consensus points to a maximum of 31–33°C under these conditions, down from peaks near 39°C earlier in the week when clearer skies prevailed. Thunderstorm outflows and higher humidity further moderate surface temperatures by enhancing evaporative cooling and reducing the boundary-layer mixing that drives extreme heat. With resolution hinging on the official daily high reported by local authorities, traders appear to weigh the probability of brief clear intervals allowing a brief spike toward 34–35°C against the more likely rain-suppressed range around 32°C. Updated CMA guidance and next-day observations will refine these odds before market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,861End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the Chengdu Meteorological Station and international models indicate persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and moderate rainfall on August 28, limiting solar insolation and capping daytime heating. Recent model consensus points to a maximum of 31–33°C under these conditions, down from peaks near 39°C earlier in the week when clearer skies prevailed. Thunderstorm outflows and higher humidity further moderate surface temperatures by enhancing evaporative cooling and reducing the boundary-layer mixing that drives extreme heat. With resolution hinging on the official daily high reported by local authorities, traders appear to weigh the probability of brief clear intervals allowing a brief spike toward 34–35°C against the more likely rain-suppressed range around 32°C. Updated CMA guidance and next-day observations will refine these odds before market close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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