**Official National Weather Service forecasts for Dallas/Fort Worth indicate the minimum temperature on August 28 will likely occur overnight into the 29th, settling in the upper 70s under mostly clear skies, light southeast winds, and high pressure rebuilding after a weak cold front passage on the 26th.** Persistent hot, humid conditions with dew points near 70°F limit radiative cooling, keeping lows from dropping below the mid-70s despite daytime highs near 99–102°F. Recent model runs show tight consensus around 78–79°F, consistent with climatological norms for late August. Trader sentiment reflects this guidance through closely matched probabilities in the 72–85°F range, with elevated odds on cooler bins acknowledging minor uncertainties from local microclimates, exact wind speeds, or slight model spread, while the low probability on 88°F+ aligns with the absence of extreme heat at night.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Dallas on August 28?
76-77°F 49%
72-73°F 47%
74-75°F 47%
82-83°F 47%
69°F or below
40%
70-71°F
15%
72-73°F
47%
74-75°F
47%
76-77°F
49%
78-79°F
30%
80-81°F
30%
82-83°F
47%
84-85°F
47%
86-87°F
19%
88°F or higher
2%
76-77°F 49%
72-73°F 47%
74-75°F 47%
82-83°F 47%
69°F or below
40%
70-71°F
15%
72-73°F
47%
74-75°F
47%
76-77°F
49%
78-79°F
30%
80-81°F
30%
82-83°F
47%
84-85°F
47%
86-87°F
19%
88°F or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Official National Weather Service forecasts for Dallas/Fort Worth indicate the minimum temperature on August 28 will likely occur overnight into the 29th, settling in the upper 70s under mostly clear skies, light southeast winds, and high pressure rebuilding after a weak cold front passage on the 26th.** Persistent hot, humid conditions with dew points near 70°F limit radiative cooling, keeping lows from dropping below the mid-70s despite daytime highs near 99–102°F. Recent model runs show tight consensus around 78–79°F, consistent with climatological norms for late August. Trader sentiment reflects this guidance through closely matched probabilities in the 72–85°F range, with elevated odds on cooler bins acknowledging minor uncertainties from local microclimates, exact wind speeds, or slight model spread, while the low probability on 88°F+ aligns with the absence of extreme heat at night.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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