Trader consensus strongly favors a 31°C high in Guangzhou today, reflecting real-time model consensus and official monitoring data showing persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 80-90%, and widespread rain or thunderstorms that limit surface heating and radiative warming. Subtropical summer patterns, including monsoon moisture and convective activity, keep daytime maxima suppressed below the climatological average of ~33°C. This skin-in-the-game positioning aligns with hourly observations trending no higher than the low 30s amid overcast skies and precipitation. A realistic challenge would require earlier-than-expected clearing of cloud decks or reduced rainfall allowing greater insolation, though current steering patterns and model runs make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Guangzhou on August 27?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on August 27?
31°C 99.7%
32°C <1%
34°C <1%
25°C or below <1%
$59,287 Vol.
$59,287 Vol.
Aug 27, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
100%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 99.7%
32°C <1%
34°C <1%
25°C or below <1%
$59,287 Vol.
$59,287 Vol.
Aug 27, 2026
25°C or below
$385 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$389 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$6,294 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$6,387 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$4,792 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$6,096 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$12,924 Vol.
100%
32°C
$6,373 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$3,888 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$4,602 Vol.
<1%
35°C or higher
$7,690 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus strongly favors a 31°C high in Guangzhou today, reflecting real-time model consensus and official monitoring data showing persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 80-90%, and widespread rain or thunderstorms that limit surface heating and radiative warming. Subtropical summer patterns, including monsoon moisture and convective activity, keep daytime maxima suppressed below the climatological average of ~33°C. This skin-in-the-game positioning aligns with hourly observations trending no higher than the low 30s amid overcast skies and precipitation. A realistic challenge would require earlier-than-expected clearing of cloud decks or reduced rainfall allowing greater insolation, though current steering patterns and model runs make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$59,287End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus strongly favors a 31°C high in Guangzhou today, reflecting real-time model consensus and official monitoring data showing persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 80-90%, and widespread rain or thunderstorms that limit surface heating and radiative warming. Subtropical summer patterns, including monsoon moisture and convective activity, keep daytime maxima suppressed below the climatological average of ~33°C. This skin-in-the-game positioning aligns with hourly observations trending no higher than the low 30s amid overcast skies and precipitation. A realistic challenge would require earlier-than-expected clearing of cloud decks or reduced rainfall allowing greater insolation, though current steering patterns and model runs make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$59,287End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus strongly favors a 31°C high in Guangzhou today, reflecting real-time model consensus and official monitoring data showing persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 80-90%, and widespread rain or thunderstorms that limit surface heating and radiative warming. Subtropical summer patterns, including monsoon moisture and convective activity, keep daytime maxima suppressed below the climatological average of ~33°C. This skin-in-the-game positioning aligns with hourly observations trending no higher than the low 30s amid overcast skies and precipitation. A realistic challenge would require earlier-than-expected clearing of cloud decks or reduced rainfall allowing greater insolation, though current steering patterns and model runs make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions