Forecast models for Guangzhou on August 28 show a subtropical monsoon pattern with high humidity near 80-90% and widespread thunderstorms expected, which limit peak solar insolation and cap daytime maxima. Recent observations indicate mostly cloudy skies and scattered convection, keeping surface temperatures from rising sharply despite typical late-August climatology around 33°C. Key variables include steering winds that could enhance or suppress storm coverage, dew points near 26-28°C sustaining moist profiles, and minor model spreads in convective timing. Trader consensus clusters on 33-35°C as these factors create realistic uncertainty between moderate heating and rain-cooled outcomes, consistent with official guidance from regional meteorological services.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Guangzhou on August 28?
34°C 28%
33°C 25%
35°C 21%
32°C 16%
$19,985 Vol.
$19,985 Vol.
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
6%
32°C
16%
33°C
25%
34°C
28%
35°C
21%
36°C
11%
37°C or higher
2%
34°C 28%
33°C 25%
35°C 21%
32°C 16%
$19,985 Vol.
$19,985 Vol.
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
6%
32°C
16%
33°C
25%
34°C
28%
35°C
21%
36°C
11%
37°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models for Guangzhou on August 28 show a subtropical monsoon pattern with high humidity near 80-90% and widespread thunderstorms expected, which limit peak solar insolation and cap daytime maxima. Recent observations indicate mostly cloudy skies and scattered convection, keeping surface temperatures from rising sharply despite typical late-August climatology around 33°C. Key variables include steering winds that could enhance or suppress storm coverage, dew points near 26-28°C sustaining moist profiles, and minor model spreads in convective timing. Trader consensus clusters on 33-35°C as these factors create realistic uncertainty between moderate heating and rain-cooled outcomes, consistent with official guidance from regional meteorological services.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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