**Trader sentiment for Wuhan's August 27, 2026, daily maximum temperature centers on 38°C (62.5% implied probability) as the most likely outcome, followed by 39°C (24%) and 37°C (15%), reflecting model consensus and official guidance for a peak in the upper 30s Celsius under continued summer heat.** Persistent high pressure across the Yangtze River basin, combined with mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and minimal precipitation risk (under 10-15% in most forecasts), supports strong daytime solar heating. Low-to-moderate easterly or northeasterly winds limit mixing, while relative humidity near 50-60% contributes to elevated heat indices without altering the dry-bulb maximum. Official warnings from the Wuhan Meteorological Station highlight expected highs of 37°C or above citywide, with local potential to 39°C, consistent with recent days' readings of 36-38°C amid the post-"Fu" heatwave continuation. Forecasts from multiple sources converge on 37-38°C (some extending to 39°C), with hourly profiles showing afternoon peaks around 14:00-16:00 local time. Upcoming resolution will hinge on final observational data from official stations, as any late-day convection or slight model shifts could nudge the exact maximum between the tightly clustered leading outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wuhan on August 27?
38°C 65%
39°C 26%
37°C 14%
36°C 2%
$14,261 Vol.
$14,261 Vol.
32°C or below
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
2%
37°C
14%
38°C
65%
39°C
21%
40°C
1%
41°C
<1%
42°C or higher
<1%
38°C 65%
39°C 26%
37°C 14%
36°C 2%
$14,261 Vol.
$14,261 Vol.
32°C or below
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
2%
37°C
14%
38°C
65%
39°C
21%
40°C
1%
41°C
<1%
42°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Wuhan's August 27, 2026, daily maximum temperature centers on 38°C (62.5% implied probability) as the most likely outcome, followed by 39°C (24%) and 37°C (15%), reflecting model consensus and official guidance for a peak in the upper 30s Celsius under continued summer heat.** Persistent high pressure across the Yangtze River basin, combined with mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and minimal precipitation risk (under 10-15% in most forecasts), supports strong daytime solar heating. Low-to-moderate easterly or northeasterly winds limit mixing, while relative humidity near 50-60% contributes to elevated heat indices without altering the dry-bulb maximum. Official warnings from the Wuhan Meteorological Station highlight expected highs of 37°C or above citywide, with local potential to 39°C, consistent with recent days' readings of 36-38°C amid the post-"Fu" heatwave continuation. Forecasts from multiple sources converge on 37-38°C (some extending to 39°C), with hourly profiles showing afternoon peaks around 14:00-16:00 local time. Upcoming resolution will hinge on final observational data from official stations, as any late-day convection or slight model shifts could nudge the exact maximum between the tightly clustered leading outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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