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icon for Highest temperature in Wuhan on August 27?

Highest temperature in Wuhan on August 27?

icon for Highest temperature in Wuhan on August 27?

Highest temperature in Wuhan on August 27?

38°C 65%

39°C 26%

37°C 14%

36°C 2%

Polymarket
NEW

$14,261 Vol.

38°C 65%

39°C 26%

37°C 14%

36°C 2%

Polymarket
NEW

$14,261 Vol.

32°C or below

$419 Vol.

<1%

33°C

$474 Vol.

<1%

34°C

$637 Vol.

<1%

35°C

$1,739 Vol.

<1%

36°C

$1,062 Vol.

2%

37°C

$3,376 Vol.

14%

38°C

$2,887 Vol.

65%

39°C

$2,252 Vol.

21%

40°C

$1,152 Vol.

1%

41°C

$464 Vol.

<1%

42°C or higher

$418 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Wuhan's August 27, 2026, daily maximum temperature centers on 38°C (62.5% implied probability) as the most likely outcome, followed by 39°C (24%) and 37°C (15%), reflecting model consensus and official guidance for a peak in the upper 30s Celsius under continued summer heat.** Persistent high pressure across the Yangtze River basin, combined with mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and minimal precipitation risk (under 10-15% in most forecasts), supports strong daytime solar heating. Low-to-moderate easterly or northeasterly winds limit mixing, while relative humidity near 50-60% contributes to elevated heat indices without altering the dry-bulb maximum. Official warnings from the Wuhan Meteorological Station highlight expected highs of 37°C or above citywide, with local potential to 39°C, consistent with recent days' readings of 36-38°C amid the post-"Fu" heatwave continuation. Forecasts from multiple sources converge on 37-38°C (some extending to 39°C), with hourly profiles showing afternoon peaks around 14:00-16:00 local time. Upcoming resolution will hinge on final observational data from official stations, as any late-day convection or slight model shifts could nudge the exact maximum between the tightly clustered leading outcomes.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh

If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$14,261
End Date
Aug 27, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Wuhan's August 27, 2026, daily maximum temperature centers on 38°C (62.5% implied probability) as the most likely outcome, followed by 39°C (24%) and 37°C (15%), reflecting model consensus and official guidance for a peak in the upper 30s Celsius under continued summer heat.** Persistent high pressure across the Yangtze River basin, combined with mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and minimal precipitation risk (under 10-15% in most forecasts), supports strong daytime solar heating. Low-to-moderate easterly or northeasterly winds limit mixing, while relative humidity near 50-60% contributes to elevated heat indices without altering the dry-bulb maximum. Official warnings from the Wuhan Meteorological Station highlight expected highs of 37°C or above citywide, with local potential to 39°C, consistent with recent days' readings of 36-38°C amid the post-"Fu" heatwave continuation. Forecasts from multiple sources converge on 37-38°C (some extending to 39°C), with hourly profiles showing afternoon peaks around 14:00-16:00 local time. Upcoming resolution will hinge on final observational data from official stations, as any late-day convection or slight model shifts could nudge the exact maximum between the tightly clustered leading outcomes.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh

If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$14,261
End Date
Aug 27, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Highest temperature in Wuhan on August 27?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "38°C" at 65%, followed by "39°C" at 21%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 65¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 65% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Highest temperature in Wuhan on August 27?" has generated $14.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 25, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Highest temperature in Wuhan on August 27?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Highest temperature in Wuhan on August 27?" is "38°C" at 65%, meaning the market assigns a 65% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "39°C" at 21%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Highest temperature in Wuhan on August 27?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.