Strong model consensus across meteorological agencies supports the 96% market-implied odds for a 28°C minimum temperature in Wuhan on August 27, with official forecasts projecting overnight lows near 28–29°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy subtropical conditions and light easterly winds. Recent high-pressure dominance following the end of the 40-day sanfu period has sustained hot daytime maxima near 37–38°C while limiting nocturnal cooling, aligning with typical late-August climatology for the Yangtze River valley. Resolution depends on verified observational data from local stations, where minor deviations could arise from unforecasted cloud increases or localized wind shifts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Wuhan on August 27?
Lowest temperature in Wuhan on August 27?
28°C 98%
25°C 31%
26°C 27%
27°C 3%
NEW
NEW
Aug 27, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
31%
26°C
27%
27°C
3%
28°C
98%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
28°C 98%
25°C 31%
26°C 27%
27°C 3%
NEW
NEW
Aug 27, 2026
24°C or below
$157 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$20 Vol.
31%
26°C
$73 Vol.
27%
27°C
$79 Vol.
3%
28°C
$188 Vol.
98%
29°C
$252 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$219 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$315 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$371 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$77 Vol.
<1%
34°C or higher
$258 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong model consensus across meteorological agencies supports the 96% market-implied odds for a 28°C minimum temperature in Wuhan on August 27, with official forecasts projecting overnight lows near 28–29°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy subtropical conditions and light easterly winds. Recent high-pressure dominance following the end of the 40-day sanfu period has sustained hot daytime maxima near 37–38°C while limiting nocturnal cooling, aligning with typical late-August climatology for the Yangtze River valley. Resolution depends on verified observational data from local stations, where minor deviations could arise from unforecasted cloud increases or localized wind shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$2,009End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong model consensus across meteorological agencies supports the 96% market-implied odds for a 28°C minimum temperature in Wuhan on August 27, with official forecasts projecting overnight lows near 28–29°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy subtropical conditions and light easterly winds. Recent high-pressure dominance following the end of the 40-day sanfu period has sustained hot daytime maxima near 37–38°C while limiting nocturnal cooling, aligning with typical late-August climatology for the Yangtze River valley. Resolution depends on verified observational data from local stations, where minor deviations could arise from unforecasted cloud increases or localized wind shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,009End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...Strong model consensus across meteorological agencies supports the 96% market-implied odds for a 28°C minimum temperature in Wuhan on August 27, with official forecasts projecting overnight lows near 28–29°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy subtropical conditions and light easterly winds. Recent high-pressure dominance following the end of the 40-day sanfu period has sustained hot daytime maxima near 37–38°C while limiting nocturnal cooling, aligning with typical late-August climatology for the Yangtze River valley. Resolution depends on verified observational data from local stations, where minor deviations could arise from unforecasted cloud increases or localized wind shifts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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