Official National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport recorded a daily maximum of 92°F on August 26, 2026, aligning precisely with the market's 100% consensus on the 92-93°F bin. This outcome reflects typical late-summer conditions in South Florida, where average highs hover near 90-91°F amid high humidity, light southeast winds, and scattered afternoon convection that often caps peak temperatures through cloud cover and sea-breeze effects. NOAA climatological data show only modest departures from normal, with no anomalous heat advection or clear-sky amplification noted in model analyses. The dominant positioning rests on verified station readings rather than forecasts. An erroneous sensor report or resolution based on a secondary urban site could theoretically shift results, though such discrepancies remain rare given standardized ASOS protocols.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Miami on August 26?
92-93°F 100.0%
79°F or below <1%
80-81°F <1%
82-83°F <1%
$174,900 Vol.
$174,900 Vol.
79°F or below
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
100%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F or higher
<1%
92-93°F 100.0%
79°F or below <1%
80-81°F <1%
82-83°F <1%
$174,900 Vol.
$174,900 Vol.
79°F or below
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
100%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport recorded a daily maximum of 92°F on August 26, 2026, aligning precisely with the market's 100% consensus on the 92-93°F bin. This outcome reflects typical late-summer conditions in South Florida, where average highs hover near 90-91°F amid high humidity, light southeast winds, and scattered afternoon convection that often caps peak temperatures through cloud cover and sea-breeze effects. NOAA climatological data show only modest departures from normal, with no anomalous heat advection or clear-sky amplification noted in model analyses. The dominant positioning rests on verified station readings rather than forecasts. An erroneous sensor report or resolution based on a secondary urban site could theoretically shift results, though such discrepancies remain rare given standardized ASOS protocols.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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