Recent official forecasts from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and multiple models indicate a likely overnight minimum of 13–15°C for Mexico City on August 28, aligning with the tightly matched market-implied odds near 48–49.5% for those thresholds. At 2,240 meters elevation, strong radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies can produce sharp nocturnal drops, yet expected monsoon-season cloud cover, showers, and light northerly winds will moderate heat loss and limit how far temperatures fall. Historical August averages hover near 11–13°C, but current conditions favor slightly milder readings without clear signals for extremes below 12°C or above 16°C. Updated model runs and evening observations will clarify the precise minimum before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Mexico City on August 28?
Lowest temperature in Mexico City on August 28?
11°C 95%
12°C 95%
16°C 95%
17°C 95%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
9°C or below
59%
10°C
85%
11°C
95%
12°C
95%
13°C
50%
14°C
50%
15°C
49%
16°C
95%
17°C
95%
18°C
58%
19°C or higher
40%
11°C 95%
12°C 95%
16°C 95%
17°C 95%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
9°C or below
$0 Vol.
59%
10°C
$0 Vol.
85%
11°C
$0 Vol.
95%
12°C
$0 Vol.
95%
13°C
$0 Vol.
50%
14°C
$0 Vol.
50%
15°C
$0 Vol.
49%
16°C
$0 Vol.
95%
17°C
$0 Vol.
95%
18°C
$0 Vol.
58%
19°C or higher
$0 Vol.
40%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and multiple models indicate a likely overnight minimum of 13–15°C for Mexico City on August 28, aligning with the tightly matched market-implied odds near 48–49.5% for those thresholds. At 2,240 meters elevation, strong radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies can produce sharp nocturnal drops, yet expected monsoon-season cloud cover, showers, and light northerly winds will moderate heat loss and limit how far temperatures fall. Historical August averages hover near 11–13°C, but current conditions favor slightly milder readings without clear signals for extremes below 12°C or above 16°C. Updated model runs and evening observations will clarify the precise minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and multiple models indicate a likely overnight minimum of 13–15°C for Mexico City on August 28, aligning with the tightly matched market-implied odds near 48–49.5% for those thresholds. At 2,240 meters elevation, strong radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies can produce sharp nocturnal drops, yet expected monsoon-season cloud cover, showers, and light northerly winds will moderate heat loss and limit how far temperatures fall. Historical August averages hover near 11–13°C, but current conditions favor slightly milder readings without clear signals for extremes below 12°C or above 16°C. Updated model runs and evening observations will clarify the precise minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and multiple models indicate a likely overnight minimum of 13–15°C for Mexico City on August 28, aligning with the tightly matched market-implied odds near 48–49.5% for those thresholds. At 2,240 meters elevation, strong radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies can produce sharp nocturnal drops, yet expected monsoon-season cloud cover, showers, and light northerly winds will moderate heat loss and limit how far temperatures fall. Historical August averages hover near 11–13°C, but current conditions favor slightly milder readings without clear signals for extremes below 12°C or above 16°C. Updated model runs and evening observations will clarify the precise minimum before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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