Official National Weather Service observations at LaGuardia Airport recorded a maximum of 82°F on August 26, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with light variable winds and dew points in the mid-50s°F, placing the day slightly below the 1991–2020 normal high of 83°F. Newark Liberty International Airport data corroborated peaks near 82–83°F, consistent with regional model consensus and the absence of strong warm advection or clear-sky heating. This convergence of verified measurements from primary stations underpins the market’s 100% implied probability for the 82–83°F bin. Only an unlikely post-publication revision by the National Weather Service or an unrecognized station-specific anomaly could alter settlement.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in NYC on August 26?
Highest temperature in NYC on August 26?
82-83°F 100.0%
71°F or below <1%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$50,796 Vol.
$50,796 Vol.
Aug 26, 2026
71°F or below
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
Yes
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90°F or higher
No
82-83°F 100.0%
71°F or below <1%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$50,796 Vol.
$50,796 Vol.
Aug 26, 2026
71°F or below
$1,966 Vol.
No
72-73°F
$2,058 Vol.
No
74-75°F
$1,683 Vol.
No
76-77°F
$1,811 Vol.
No
78-79°F
$7,630 Vol.
No
80-81°F
$14,994 Vol.
No
82-83°F
$7,846 Vol.
Yes
84-85°F
$5,212 Vol.
No
86-87°F
$3,294 Vol.
No
88-89°F
$2,337 Vol.
No
90°F or higher
$1,965 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service observations at LaGuardia Airport recorded a maximum of 82°F on August 26, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with light variable winds and dew points in the mid-50s°F, placing the day slightly below the 1991–2020 normal high of 83°F. Newark Liberty International Airport data corroborated peaks near 82–83°F, consistent with regional model consensus and the absence of strong warm advection or clear-sky heating. This convergence of verified measurements from primary stations underpins the market’s 100% implied probability for the 82–83°F bin. Only an unlikely post-publication revision by the National Weather Service or an unrecognized station-specific anomaly could alter settlement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Volume
$50,796End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 8:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service observations at LaGuardia Airport recorded a maximum of 82°F on August 26, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with light variable winds and dew points in the mid-50s°F, placing the day slightly below the 1991–2020 normal high of 83°F. Newark Liberty International Airport data corroborated peaks near 82–83°F, consistent with regional model consensus and the absence of strong warm advection or clear-sky heating. This convergence of verified measurements from primary stations underpins the market’s 100% implied probability for the 82–83°F bin. Only an unlikely post-publication revision by the National Weather Service or an unrecognized station-specific anomaly could alter settlement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$50,796End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 8:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official National Weather Service observations at LaGuardia Airport recorded a maximum of 82°F on August 26, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with light variable winds and dew points in the mid-50s°F, placing the day slightly below the 1991–2020 normal high of 83°F. Newark Liberty International Airport data corroborated peaks near 82–83°F, consistent with regional model consensus and the absence of strong warm advection or clear-sky heating. This convergence of verified measurements from primary stations underpins the market’s 100% implied probability for the 82–83°F bin. Only an unlikely post-publication revision by the National Weather Service or an unrecognized station-specific anomaly could alter settlement.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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