**Forecast models from agencies including the Met Office and regional services indicate a daytime maximum near 33°C in Kuala Lumpur on August 27, aligning with the market’s leading 55% implied probability.** Typical August climatology shows highs averaging 32–33°C amid high humidity and frequent afternoon convection; light southerly winds and partial cloud cover today are expected to moderate peak heating while scattered thunderstorms may further cap temperatures. Recent model runs show limited spread, with drier scenarios allowing brief excursions toward 34°C but widespread moisture favoring the 32–33°C range. Traders appear to weight official guidance and historical analogs heavily, reflecting the low likelihood of extremes given the active monsoon trough and stable steering patterns.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on August 27?
33°C 53%
34°C 24%
32°C 18%
31°C 5%
$22,086 Vol.
$22,086 Vol.
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
5%
32°C
18%
33°C
53%
34°C
24%
35°C
3%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 53%
34°C 24%
32°C 18%
31°C 5%
$22,086 Vol.
$22,086 Vol.
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
5%
32°C
18%
33°C
53%
34°C
24%
35°C
3%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkkResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkkResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from agencies including the Met Office and regional services indicate a daytime maximum near 33°C in Kuala Lumpur on August 27, aligning with the market’s leading 55% implied probability.** Typical August climatology shows highs averaging 32–33°C amid high humidity and frequent afternoon convection; light southerly winds and partial cloud cover today are expected to moderate peak heating while scattered thunderstorms may further cap temperatures. Recent model runs show limited spread, with drier scenarios allowing brief excursions toward 34°C but widespread moisture favoring the 32–33°C range. Traders appear to weight official guidance and historical analogs heavily, reflecting the low likelihood of extremes given the active monsoon trough and stable steering patterns.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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