Official Hong Kong Observatory measurements recorded a daily maximum of 29°C on August 26, driving the market's near-certain consensus on that exact outcome. Persistent showers, thunderstorms, and a moist southerly flow limited daytime heating and kept peaks well below the extreme values seen earlier in the month. Real-time station data showed brief spikes near 29.3°C around midday before rain-cooled air dominated, aligning precisely with the resolution threshold. Forecasters had initially projected around 31°C, but the convective activity suppressed readings as expected in a post-heat-wave pattern. Revisions to the official record or use of a non-standard station remain the only realistic paths to a different close, though both are highly improbable given established HKO protocols.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 26?
29°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$139,915 Vol.
$139,915 Vol.
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
100%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
29°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$139,915 Vol.
$139,915 Vol.
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
100%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Official Hong Kong Observatory measurements recorded a daily maximum of 29°C on August 26, driving the market's near-certain consensus on that exact outcome. Persistent showers, thunderstorms, and a moist southerly flow limited daytime heating and kept peaks well below the extreme values seen earlier in the month. Real-time station data showed brief spikes near 29.3°C around midday before rain-cooled air dominated, aligning precisely with the resolution threshold. Forecasters had initially projected around 31°C, but the convective activity suppressed readings as expected in a post-heat-wave pattern. Revisions to the official record or use of a non-standard station remain the only realistic paths to a different close, though both are highly improbable given established HKO protocols.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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