**Official forecasts from the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI) currently indicate a maximum of 22°C in Amsterdam on August 28 amid widespread showers and thunderstorms, with 90% precipitation probability and moderate southwest winds.** Ensemble and international guidance (including Met Office and GFS-influenced models) show a narrow range centered near 22–24°C, reflecting uncertainty in the exact timing and intensity of convective cells that can suppress peak heating under increased cloud cover and higher humidity. This aligns with historical late-August averages around 21°C and explains the near-even market split between 22°C and 23°C implied probabilities, as traders weigh the balance between drier intervals allowing brief warming and the overall cooling trend from the incoming air mass. Updated model runs and KNMI briefings remain the key near-term catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Amsterdam on August 28?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on August 28?
23°C 38%
22°C 34%
21°C 12%
24°C 12%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
16°C or below
2%
17°C
2%
18°C
1%
19°C
3%
20°C
3%
21°C
12%
22°C
34%
23°C
38%
24°C
12%
25°C
4%
26°C or higher
<1%
23°C 38%
22°C 34%
21°C 12%
24°C 12%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
16°C or below
$5 Vol.
2%
17°C
$5 Vol.
2%
18°C
$132 Vol.
1%
19°C
$58 Vol.
3%
20°C
$212 Vol.
3%
21°C
$1,038 Vol.
12%
22°C
$599 Vol.
34%
23°C
$2,870 Vol.
38%
24°C
$476 Vol.
12%
25°C
$72 Vol.
4%
26°C or higher
$134 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts from the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI) currently indicate a maximum of 22°C in Amsterdam on August 28 amid widespread showers and thunderstorms, with 90% precipitation probability and moderate southwest winds.** Ensemble and international guidance (including Met Office and GFS-influenced models) show a narrow range centered near 22–24°C, reflecting uncertainty in the exact timing and intensity of convective cells that can suppress peak heating under increased cloud cover and higher humidity. This aligns with historical late-August averages around 21°C and explains the near-even market split between 22°C and 23°C implied probabilities, as traders weigh the balance between drier intervals allowing brief warming and the overall cooling trend from the incoming air mass. Updated model runs and KNMI briefings remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$5,590End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts from the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI) currently indicate a maximum of 22°C in Amsterdam on August 28 amid widespread showers and thunderstorms, with 90% precipitation probability and moderate southwest winds.** Ensemble and international guidance (including Met Office and GFS-influenced models) show a narrow range centered near 22–24°C, reflecting uncertainty in the exact timing and intensity of convective cells that can suppress peak heating under increased cloud cover and higher humidity. This aligns with historical late-August averages around 21°C and explains the near-even market split between 22°C and 23°C implied probabilities, as traders weigh the balance between drier intervals allowing brief warming and the overall cooling trend from the incoming air mass. Updated model runs and KNMI briefings remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,590End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Official forecasts from the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI) currently indicate a maximum of 22°C in Amsterdam on August 28 amid widespread showers and thunderstorms, with 90% precipitation probability and moderate southwest winds.** Ensemble and international guidance (including Met Office and GFS-influenced models) show a narrow range centered near 22–24°C, reflecting uncertainty in the exact timing and intensity of convective cells that can suppress peak heating under increased cloud cover and higher humidity. This aligns with historical late-August averages around 21°C and explains the near-even market split between 22°C and 23°C implied probabilities, as traders weigh the balance between drier intervals allowing brief warming and the overall cooling trend from the incoming air mass. Updated model runs and KNMI briefings remain the key near-term catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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