Forecast models for Amsterdam on August 28 show overnight lows clustered between roughly 14–17 °C, with daytime maxima near 21–23 °C under a strengthening southwesterly flow and widespread showers or scattered thunderstorms. Persistent cloud cover and elevated humidity from the approaching frontal system are expected to limit radiative cooling, narrowing the diurnal range and keeping the minimum sensitive to the exact timing and intensity of precipitation. Ensemble guidance diverges on whether the coldest readings occur pre-dawn under clearer breaks or later amid heavier rain and stronger winds, producing the tight market clustering around 15–18 °C. Official agencies such as KNMI and ECMWF runs will provide key updates before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Amsterdam on August 28?
19°C 84%
18°C 45%
15°C 44%
17°C 39%
12°C or below
1%
13°C
8%
14°C
38%
15°C
44%
16°C
31%
17°C
39%
18°C
45%
19°C
84%
20°C
12%
21°C
8%
22°C or higher
1%
19°C 84%
18°C 45%
15°C 44%
17°C 39%
12°C or below
1%
13°C
8%
14°C
38%
15°C
44%
16°C
31%
17°C
39%
18°C
45%
19°C
84%
20°C
12%
21°C
8%
22°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models for Amsterdam on August 28 show overnight lows clustered between roughly 14–17 °C, with daytime maxima near 21–23 °C under a strengthening southwesterly flow and widespread showers or scattered thunderstorms. Persistent cloud cover and elevated humidity from the approaching frontal system are expected to limit radiative cooling, narrowing the diurnal range and keeping the minimum sensitive to the exact timing and intensity of precipitation. Ensemble guidance diverges on whether the coldest readings occur pre-dawn under clearer breaks or later amid heavier rain and stronger winds, producing the tight market clustering around 15–18 °C. Official agencies such as KNMI and ECMWF runs will provide key updates before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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