Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a mild winter day in Cape Town on August 29, with daytime highs most likely reaching 17–18°C under southerly winds, extensive cloud cover, and a chance of light rain or drizzle that will limit solar heating and keep maxima below seasonal norms. Trader consensus around these levels reflects the tight clustering of numerical guidance showing peak temperatures in the mid-to-upper teens Celsius, consistent with typical August conditions influenced by the Benguela Current and prevailing westerlies. A strengthening El Niño may contribute to broader warmth later in the season, but near-term synoptic patterns dominate this short-range outlook. Updated model runs and official South African Weather Service guidance ahead of the date represent the next key data points that could shift probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Cape Town on August 29?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on August 29?
18°C 37%
17°C 28%
19°C 20%
16°C 17%
NEW
NEW
Aug 29, 2026
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
13%
15°C
10%
16°C
17%
17°C
28%
18°C
37%
19°C
20%
20°C
9%
21°C
6%
22°C or higher
1%
18°C 37%
17°C 28%
19°C 20%
16°C 17%
NEW
NEW
Aug 29, 2026
12°C or below
$0 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$5 Vol.
13%
15°C
$5 Vol.
10%
16°C
$0 Vol.
17%
17°C
$0 Vol.
28%
18°C
$0 Vol.
37%
19°C
$77 Vol.
20%
20°C
$0 Vol.
9%
21°C
$0 Vol.
6%
22°C or higher
$2 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a mild winter day in Cape Town on August 29, with daytime highs most likely reaching 17–18°C under southerly winds, extensive cloud cover, and a chance of light rain or drizzle that will limit solar heating and keep maxima below seasonal norms. Trader consensus around these levels reflects the tight clustering of numerical guidance showing peak temperatures in the mid-to-upper teens Celsius, consistent with typical August conditions influenced by the Benguela Current and prevailing westerlies. A strengthening El Niño may contribute to broader warmth later in the season, but near-term synoptic patterns dominate this short-range outlook. Updated model runs and official South African Weather Service guidance ahead of the date represent the next key data points that could shift probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 27, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$87End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a mild winter day in Cape Town on August 29, with daytime highs most likely reaching 17–18°C under southerly winds, extensive cloud cover, and a chance of light rain or drizzle that will limit solar heating and keep maxima below seasonal norms. Trader consensus around these levels reflects the tight clustering of numerical guidance showing peak temperatures in the mid-to-upper teens Celsius, consistent with typical August conditions influenced by the Benguela Current and prevailing westerlies. A strengthening El Niño may contribute to broader warmth later in the season, but near-term synoptic patterns dominate this short-range outlook. Updated model runs and official South African Weather Service guidance ahead of the date represent the next key data points that could shift probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$87End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a mild winter day in Cape Town on August 29, with daytime highs most likely reaching 17–18°C under southerly winds, extensive cloud cover, and a chance of light rain or drizzle that will limit solar heating and keep maxima below seasonal norms. Trader consensus around these levels reflects the tight clustering of numerical guidance showing peak temperatures in the mid-to-upper teens Celsius, consistent with typical August conditions influenced by the Benguela Current and prevailing westerlies. A strengthening El Niño may contribute to broader warmth later in the season, but near-term synoptic patterns dominate this short-range outlook. Updated model runs and official South African Weather Service guidance ahead of the date represent the next key data points that could shift probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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