**Trader consensus on a 32°C high for Shanghai on August 27, 2026, rests on consistent official forecasts showing a daytime maximum near this level.** Multiple meteorological sources, including hourly observations and model guidance, point to peaks of 32–33°C amid partly cloudy skies, moderate northeast winds, and possible light showers, aligning with late-August climatology where average highs reach about 31°C. Real-time reports confirm temperatures climbing through the low 30s°C during peak heating hours without exceeding typical model envelopes. This skin-in-the-game positioning reflects aggregated assessment of observational data from agencies like the Shanghai Meteorological Bureau. A realistic challenge would require rapid shifts in steering patterns, stronger insolation, or revised station readings that push the verified maximum to 33°C or higher.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Shanghai on August 27?
32°C 92%
33°C 5%
34°C <1%
26°C or below <1%
$51,023 Vol.
$51,023 Vol.
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
92%
33°C
5%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
32°C 92%
33°C 5%
34°C <1%
26°C or below <1%
$51,023 Vol.
$51,023 Vol.
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
92%
33°C
5%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus on a 32°C high for Shanghai on August 27, 2026, rests on consistent official forecasts showing a daytime maximum near this level.** Multiple meteorological sources, including hourly observations and model guidance, point to peaks of 32–33°C amid partly cloudy skies, moderate northeast winds, and possible light showers, aligning with late-August climatology where average highs reach about 31°C. Real-time reports confirm temperatures climbing through the low 30s°C during peak heating hours without exceeding typical model envelopes. This skin-in-the-game positioning reflects aggregated assessment of observational data from agencies like the Shanghai Meteorological Bureau. A realistic challenge would require rapid shifts in steering patterns, stronger insolation, or revised station readings that push the verified maximum to 33°C or higher.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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