**Trader consensus heavily favors 28°C as the lowest temperature in Shanghai on August 27, 2026, reflecting consistent official forecasts of overnight lows near 26–28°C amid persistent late-summer warmth.** Current conditions feature northeast winds, high humidity, and partly cloudy skies with scattered light rain or drizzle, limiting radiative cooling. Hourly observations show daytime peaks near 32–33°C dropping gradually to around 28°C by late evening, aligning with model runs from agencies tracking regional patterns. Historical late-August baselines average 24–25°C lows, yet recent days have trended warmer due to stable high pressure and moist air masses. A shift to stronger winds, heavier precipitation, or an earlier cold front could push readings to 26°C, but prevailing conditions make significant deviation unlikely before midnight resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Shanghai on August 27?
28°C 91%
27°C 6%
26°C 1.3%
24°C <1%
$17,888 Vol.
$17,888 Vol.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
6%
28°C
91%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
28°C 91%
27°C 6%
26°C 1.3%
24°C <1%
$17,888 Vol.
$17,888 Vol.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
6%
28°C
91%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus heavily favors 28°C as the lowest temperature in Shanghai on August 27, 2026, reflecting consistent official forecasts of overnight lows near 26–28°C amid persistent late-summer warmth.** Current conditions feature northeast winds, high humidity, and partly cloudy skies with scattered light rain or drizzle, limiting radiative cooling. Hourly observations show daytime peaks near 32–33°C dropping gradually to around 28°C by late evening, aligning with model runs from agencies tracking regional patterns. Historical late-August baselines average 24–25°C lows, yet recent days have trended warmer due to stable high pressure and moist air masses. A shift to stronger winds, heavier precipitation, or an earlier cold front could push readings to 26°C, but prevailing conditions make significant deviation unlikely before midnight resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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