**Forecast models from sources including AEMET, GFS, and multiple weather services converge on a daily maximum near 22–23°C for Madrid on August 27, 2026, driven by persistent cloud cover, a 60–70% chance of light rain or drizzle, and moderate southwest winds.** These conditions suppress daytime heating compared with the long-term August average high of 30.7°C. Recent observations show overnight lows near 16–18°C rising only slowly under overcast skies, with afternoon peaks expected around 21–23°C. Trader positioning around 23–24°C (combined ~71.5% implied probability) reflects this consensus, while lower odds on 25°C+ outcomes account for residual model uncertainty in timing of any clearing. Resolution will hinge on official station readings for the calendar-day maximum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Madrid on August 27?
Highest temperature in Madrid on August 27?
24°C 42%
23°C 31%
25°C 21%
26°C 7%
NEW
$70,826 Vol.
NEW
$70,826 Vol.
Aug 27, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
31%
24°C
42%
25°C
21%
26°C
7%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
24°C 42%
23°C 31%
25°C 21%
26°C 7%
NEW
$70,826 Vol.
NEW
$70,826 Vol.
Aug 27, 2026
21°C or below
$6,477 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$10,761 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$5,685 Vol.
31%
24°C
$7,190 Vol.
42%
25°C
$6,416 Vol.
21%
26°C
$8,695 Vol.
7%
27°C
$2,490 Vol.
1%
28°C
$3,249 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$4,749 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$6,495 Vol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$8,620 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources including AEMET, GFS, and multiple weather services converge on a daily maximum near 22–23°C for Madrid on August 27, 2026, driven by persistent cloud cover, a 60–70% chance of light rain or drizzle, and moderate southwest winds.**
These conditions suppress daytime heating compared with the long-term August average high of 30.7°C. Recent observations show overnight lows near 16–18°C rising only slowly under overcast skies, with afternoon peaks expected around 21–23°C. Trader positioning around 23–24°C (combined ~71.5% implied probability) reflects this consensus, while lower odds on 25°C+ outcomes account for residual model uncertainty in timing of any clearing. Resolution will hinge on official station readings for the calendar-day maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$70,826End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources including AEMET, GFS, and multiple weather services converge on a daily maximum near 22–23°C for Madrid on August 27, 2026, driven by persistent cloud cover, a 60–70% chance of light rain or drizzle, and moderate southwest winds.**
These conditions suppress daytime heating compared with the long-term August average high of 30.7°C. Recent observations show overnight lows near 16–18°C rising only slowly under overcast skies, with afternoon peaks expected around 21–23°C. Trader positioning around 23–24°C (combined ~71.5% implied probability) reflects this consensus, while lower odds on 25°C+ outcomes account for residual model uncertainty in timing of any clearing. Resolution will hinge on official station readings for the calendar-day maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$70,826End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from sources including AEMET, GFS, and multiple weather services converge on a daily maximum near 22–23°C for Madrid on August 27, 2026, driven by persistent cloud cover, a 60–70% chance of light rain or drizzle, and moderate southwest winds.** These conditions suppress daytime heating compared with the long-term August average high of 30.7°C. Recent observations show overnight lows near 16–18°C rising only slowly under overcast skies, with afternoon peaks expected around 21–23°C. Trader positioning around 23–24°C (combined ~71.5% implied probability) reflects this consensus, while lower odds on 25°C+ outcomes account for residual model uncertainty in timing of any clearing. Resolution will hinge on official station readings for the calendar-day maximum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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