Recent weather model consensus from sources including GFS and regional forecasts indicates a high near 26°C for Madrid on August 28, driven by clearing skies after today's showers, light southwesterly winds under 10 km/h, and dry air masses reducing humidity. Afternoon solar heating under mostly clear conditions supports modest warming to the mid-20s Celsius range, consistent with late-August climatology where daily maxima average around 30°C but recent cooler patterns have kept readings lower. Low precipitation risk and stable high pressure further anchor probabilities around 26–27°C, with minimal model spread suggesting limited upside to 28°C or above. Traders weigh these stable atmospheric conditions against any final-hour forecast revisions ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Madrid on August 28?
Highest temperature in Madrid on August 28?
27°C 46%
26°C 39%
28°C 10%
25°C 9%
NEW
$12,215 Vol.
NEW
$12,215 Vol.
Aug 28, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
9%
26°C
39%
27°C
46%
28°C
10%
29°C
2%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 46%
26°C 39%
28°C 10%
25°C 9%
NEW
$12,215 Vol.
NEW
$12,215 Vol.
Aug 28, 2026
22°C or below
$425 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$405 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$537 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$1,063 Vol.
9%
26°C
$2,829 Vol.
39%
27°C
$3,060 Vol.
46%
28°C
$1,621 Vol.
10%
29°C
$584 Vol.
2%
30°C
$564 Vol.
1%
31°C
$539 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$589 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent weather model consensus from sources including GFS and regional forecasts indicates a high near 26°C for Madrid on August 28, driven by clearing skies after today's showers, light southwesterly winds under 10 km/h, and dry air masses reducing humidity. Afternoon solar heating under mostly clear conditions supports modest warming to the mid-20s Celsius range, consistent with late-August climatology where daily maxima average around 30°C but recent cooler patterns have kept readings lower. Low precipitation risk and stable high pressure further anchor probabilities around 26–27°C, with minimal model spread suggesting limited upside to 28°C or above. Traders weigh these stable atmospheric conditions against any final-hour forecast revisions ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$12,215End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent weather model consensus from sources including GFS and regional forecasts indicates a high near 26°C for Madrid on August 28, driven by clearing skies after today's showers, light southwesterly winds under 10 km/h, and dry air masses reducing humidity. Afternoon solar heating under mostly clear conditions supports modest warming to the mid-20s Celsius range, consistent with late-August climatology where daily maxima average around 30°C but recent cooler patterns have kept readings lower. Low precipitation risk and stable high pressure further anchor probabilities around 26–27°C, with minimal model spread suggesting limited upside to 28°C or above. Traders weigh these stable atmospheric conditions against any final-hour forecast revisions ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$12,215End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent weather model consensus from sources including GFS and regional forecasts indicates a high near 26°C for Madrid on August 28, driven by clearing skies after today's showers, light southwesterly winds under 10 km/h, and dry air masses reducing humidity. Afternoon solar heating under mostly clear conditions supports modest warming to the mid-20s Celsius range, consistent with late-August climatology where daily maxima average around 30°C but recent cooler patterns have kept readings lower. Low precipitation risk and stable high pressure further anchor probabilities around 26–27°C, with minimal model spread suggesting limited upside to 28°C or above. Traders weigh these stable atmospheric conditions against any final-hour forecast revisions ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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