Current forecasts from models and agencies like AEMET indicate Madrid's overnight low on August 27 will likely settle between 14–16°C, with trader sentiment split between those bins amid 96% cloud cover, southwest winds of 10–15 mph, and light rain that reduces radiative cooling. These conditions suppress the typical clear-sky temperature drop, keeping surface readings above the long-term August average low near 18°C while dew points hover around 12–14°C. Hourly observations early on the 27th already show 16–17°C, and model consensus points to a minimum near dawn before daytime mixing begins. Resolution hinges on precise timing of any clearing or wind shift that could allow further cooling or hold temperatures steady.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Madrid on August 27?
Lowest temperature in Madrid on August 27?
14°C 48%
15°C 15%
13°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
NEW
NEW
Aug 27, 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
48%
15°C
15%
16°C
53%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
14°C 48%
15°C 15%
13°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
NEW
NEW
Aug 27, 2026
13°C or below
$145 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$80 Vol.
48%
15°C
$122 Vol.
15%
16°C
$134 Vol.
53%
17°C
$251 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$278 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$131 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$50 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$100 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$119 Vol.
<1%
23°C or higher
$285 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from models and agencies like AEMET indicate Madrid's overnight low on August 27 will likely settle between 14–16°C, with trader sentiment split between those bins amid 96% cloud cover, southwest winds of 10–15 mph, and light rain that reduces radiative cooling. These conditions suppress the typical clear-sky temperature drop, keeping surface readings above the long-term August average low near 18°C while dew points hover around 12–14°C. Hourly observations early on the 27th already show 16–17°C, and model consensus points to a minimum near dawn before daytime mixing begins. Resolution hinges on precise timing of any clearing or wind shift that could allow further cooling or hold temperatures steady.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$1,695End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from models and agencies like AEMET indicate Madrid's overnight low on August 27 will likely settle between 14–16°C, with trader sentiment split between those bins amid 96% cloud cover, southwest winds of 10–15 mph, and light rain that reduces radiative cooling. These conditions suppress the typical clear-sky temperature drop, keeping surface readings above the long-term August average low near 18°C while dew points hover around 12–14°C. Hourly observations early on the 27th already show 16–17°C, and model consensus points to a minimum near dawn before daytime mixing begins. Resolution hinges on precise timing of any clearing or wind shift that could allow further cooling or hold temperatures steady.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,695End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from models and agencies like AEMET indicate Madrid's overnight low on August 27 will likely settle between 14–16°C, with trader sentiment split between those bins amid 96% cloud cover, southwest winds of 10–15 mph, and light rain that reduces radiative cooling. These conditions suppress the typical clear-sky temperature drop, keeping surface readings above the long-term August average low near 18°C while dew points hover around 12–14°C. Hourly observations early on the 27th already show 16–17°C, and model consensus points to a minimum near dawn before daytime mixing begins. Resolution hinges on precise timing of any clearing or wind shift that could allow further cooling or hold temperatures steady.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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