Trader consensus on a 25°C daily maximum for São Paulo on August 26 rests on official station observations from the Centro de Gerenciamento de Emergências (CGE) and aligned meteorological networks, which recorded a peak near that threshold amid persistent cloud cover, light northeasterly flow, and suppressed daytime heating typical of late-winter conditions. Regional models and real-time data showed limited diurnal rise from morning lows around 14–15°C, consistent with seasonal August averages near 22°C yet elevated by recent subsidence patterns. The near-certain market-implied outcome reflects verified measurements rather than forecasts. An unexpected post-event revision in station data or differing resolution criteria could theoretically alter settlement, though the weight of multiple automated reports makes such shifts improbable.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 26?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 26?
25°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$39,478 Vol.
$39,478 Vol.
Aug 26, 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
100%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
25°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$39,478 Vol.
$39,478 Vol.
Aug 26, 2026
17°C or below
$656 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$751 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$1,808 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$1,904 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$6,991 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$5,396 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$7,628 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$4,125 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$5,966 Vol.
100%
26°C
$1,722 Vol.
<1%
27°C or higher
$2,533 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on a 25°C daily maximum for São Paulo on August 26 rests on official station observations from the Centro de Gerenciamento de Emergências (CGE) and aligned meteorological networks, which recorded a peak near that threshold amid persistent cloud cover, light northeasterly flow, and suppressed daytime heating typical of late-winter conditions. Regional models and real-time data showed limited diurnal rise from morning lows around 14–15°C, consistent with seasonal August averages near 22°C yet elevated by recent subsidence patterns. The near-certain market-implied outcome reflects verified measurements rather than forecasts. An unexpected post-event revision in station data or differing resolution criteria could theoretically alter settlement, though the weight of multiple automated reports makes such shifts improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
Volume
$39,478End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 8:55 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on a 25°C daily maximum for São Paulo on August 26 rests on official station observations from the Centro de Gerenciamento de Emergências (CGE) and aligned meteorological networks, which recorded a peak near that threshold amid persistent cloud cover, light northeasterly flow, and suppressed daytime heating typical of late-winter conditions. Regional models and real-time data showed limited diurnal rise from morning lows around 14–15°C, consistent with seasonal August averages near 22°C yet elevated by recent subsidence patterns. The near-certain market-implied outcome reflects verified measurements rather than forecasts. An unexpected post-event revision in station data or differing resolution criteria could theoretically alter settlement, though the weight of multiple automated reports makes such shifts improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$39,478End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 8:55 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on a 25°C daily maximum for São Paulo on August 26 rests on official station observations from the Centro de Gerenciamento de Emergências (CGE) and aligned meteorological networks, which recorded a peak near that threshold amid persistent cloud cover, light northeasterly flow, and suppressed daytime heating typical of late-winter conditions. Regional models and real-time data showed limited diurnal rise from morning lows around 14–15°C, consistent with seasonal August averages near 22°C yet elevated by recent subsidence patterns. The near-certain market-implied outcome reflects verified measurements rather than forecasts. An unexpected post-event revision in station data or differing resolution criteria could theoretically alter settlement, though the weight of multiple automated reports makes such shifts improbable.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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