Forecasts for São Paulo on August 27, 2026, point to overnight radiative cooling under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and light northeasterly winds, with dew points near 13–16°C supporting minimums clustered in the mid-teens. The city’s plateau elevation near 800 m and dry winter air mass enhance nocturnal temperature drops compared with coastal areas, while the urban heat island effect and any lingering haze from recent days may limit how far readings fall. Model consensus shows highs reaching 24–27°C midday before rapid evening decline, creating tight differentiation among 13–16°C outcomes. Traders weigh the latest high-resolution runs and station observations against historical August minima around 12°C, with resolution hinging on the precise timing of the daily low.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 27?
Lowest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 27?
18°C 47%
12°C 38%
15°C 33%
14°C 27%
NEW
NEW
Aug 27, 2026
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
38%
13°C
26%
14°C
27%
15°C
33%
16°C
27%
17°C
26%
18°C
27%
19°C
1%
20°C or higher
1%
18°C 47%
12°C 38%
15°C 33%
14°C 27%
NEW
NEW
Aug 27, 2026
10°C or below
$27 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$227 Vol.
1%
12°C
$138 Vol.
38%
13°C
$3 Vol.
26%
14°C
$0 Vol.
27%
15°C
$0 Vol.
33%
16°C
$0 Vol.
27%
17°C
$0 Vol.
26%
18°C
$12 Vol.
27%
19°C
$52 Vol.
1%
20°C or higher
$27 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts for São Paulo on August 27, 2026, point to overnight radiative cooling under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and light northeasterly winds, with dew points near 13–16°C supporting minimums clustered in the mid-teens. The city’s plateau elevation near 800 m and dry winter air mass enhance nocturnal temperature drops compared with coastal areas, while the urban heat island effect and any lingering haze from recent days may limit how far readings fall. Model consensus shows highs reaching 24–27°C midday before rapid evening decline, creating tight differentiation among 13–16°C outcomes. Traders weigh the latest high-resolution runs and station observations against historical August minima around 12°C, with resolution hinging on the precise timing of the daily low.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Volume
$485End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 9:29 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts for São Paulo on August 27, 2026, point to overnight radiative cooling under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and light northeasterly winds, with dew points near 13–16°C supporting minimums clustered in the mid-teens. The city’s plateau elevation near 800 m and dry winter air mass enhance nocturnal temperature drops compared with coastal areas, while the urban heat island effect and any lingering haze from recent days may limit how far readings fall. Model consensus shows highs reaching 24–27°C midday before rapid evening decline, creating tight differentiation among 13–16°C outcomes. Traders weigh the latest high-resolution runs and station observations against historical August minima around 12°C, with resolution hinging on the precise timing of the daily low.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$485End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 9:29 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecasts for São Paulo on August 27, 2026, point to overnight radiative cooling under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and light northeasterly winds, with dew points near 13–16°C supporting minimums clustered in the mid-teens. The city’s plateau elevation near 800 m and dry winter air mass enhance nocturnal temperature drops compared with coastal areas, while the urban heat island effect and any lingering haze from recent days may limit how far readings fall. Model consensus shows highs reaching 24–27°C midday before rapid evening decline, creating tight differentiation among 13–16°C outcomes. Traders weigh the latest high-resolution runs and station observations against historical August minima around 12°C, with resolution hinging on the precise timing of the daily low.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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