**Strong scientific consensus from official National Weather Service observations at Houston Intercontinental Airport supports the market's near-certain positioning on 98-99°F as the day's maximum.** A persistent high-pressure ridge delivered clear skies, southwesterly flow, and minimal cloud cover, enabling efficient daytime heating that pushed temperatures to 100°F by late afternoon—6°F above the 1991-2020 normal of 94°F—while dew points near 73°F produced heat indices exceeding 108°F. This aligned with the broader multi-day heat wave featuring repeated triple-digit readings. Resolution hinges on the precise NWS climatological summary, which recorded the peak at 100°F; minor station-to-station differences or post-processing adjustments remain the only realistic pathways that could shift the final bucketed outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Houston on August 26?
Highest temperature in Houston on August 26?
98-99°F 100.0%
91°F or below <1%
92-93°F <1%
94-95°F <1%
$39,779 Vol.
$39,779 Vol.
Aug 26, 2026
91°F or below
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98-99°F
100%
100-101°F
<1%
102-103°F
<1%
104-105°F
<1%
106-107°F
<1%
108-109°F
<1%
110°F or higher
<1%
98-99°F 100.0%
91°F or below <1%
92-93°F <1%
94-95°F <1%
$39,779 Vol.
$39,779 Vol.
Aug 26, 2026
91°F or below
$2,608 Vol.
<1%
92-93°F
$1,575 Vol.
<1%
94-95°F
$5,788 Vol.
<1%
96-97°F
$5,526 Vol.
<1%
98-99°F
$7,561 Vol.
100%
100-101°F
$7,719 Vol.
<1%
102-103°F
$2,695 Vol.
<1%
104-105°F
$971 Vol.
<1%
106-107°F
$988 Vol.
<1%
108-109°F
$2,258 Vol.
<1%
110°F or higher
$2,089 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Strong scientific consensus from official National Weather Service observations at Houston Intercontinental Airport supports the market's near-certain positioning on 98-99°F as the day's maximum.** A persistent high-pressure ridge delivered clear skies, southwesterly flow, and minimal cloud cover, enabling efficient daytime heating that pushed temperatures to 100°F by late afternoon—6°F above the 1991-2020 normal of 94°F—while dew points near 73°F produced heat indices exceeding 108°F. This aligned with the broader multi-day heat wave featuring repeated triple-digit readings. Resolution hinges on the precise NWS climatological summary, which recorded the peak at 100°F; minor station-to-station differences or post-processing adjustments remain the only realistic pathways that could shift the final bucketed outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Volume
$39,779End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 8:57 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Strong scientific consensus from official National Weather Service observations at Houston Intercontinental Airport supports the market's near-certain positioning on 98-99°F as the day's maximum.** A persistent high-pressure ridge delivered clear skies, southwesterly flow, and minimal cloud cover, enabling efficient daytime heating that pushed temperatures to 100°F by late afternoon—6°F above the 1991-2020 normal of 94°F—while dew points near 73°F produced heat indices exceeding 108°F. This aligned with the broader multi-day heat wave featuring repeated triple-digit readings. Resolution hinges on the precise NWS climatological summary, which recorded the peak at 100°F; minor station-to-station differences or post-processing adjustments remain the only realistic pathways that could shift the final bucketed outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$39,779End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 8:57 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Strong scientific consensus from official National Weather Service observations at Houston Intercontinental Airport supports the market's near-certain positioning on 98-99°F as the day's maximum.** A persistent high-pressure ridge delivered clear skies, southwesterly flow, and minimal cloud cover, enabling efficient daytime heating that pushed temperatures to 100°F by late afternoon—6°F above the 1991-2020 normal of 94°F—while dew points near 73°F produced heat indices exceeding 108°F. This aligned with the broader multi-day heat wave featuring repeated triple-digit readings. Resolution hinges on the precise NWS climatological summary, which recorded the peak at 100°F; minor station-to-station differences or post-processing adjustments remain the only realistic pathways that could shift the final bucketed outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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