Recent local forecasts from the Qingdao Meteorological Station indicate a maximum of 29°C on August 28 under mostly cloudy conditions with a shift from southeast to northerly winds of 3–4 on the Beaufort scale, as subtropical high pressure maintains warmer maritime air before a cooling transition. Ensemble model guidance and international sources show a tight cluster around 28–30°C, reflecting typical late-August coastal variability where diurnal heating and humidity can push afternoon peaks modestly higher than guidance. Trader emphasis on the 30–32°C outcomes aligns with this uncertainty range and historical August maxima near 29°C, while lower probabilities for 33°C+ reflect limited intensification potential ahead of the wind shift. Updated model runs and official briefings on the 28th will refine resolution thresholds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Qingdao on August 28?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on August 28?
31°C 40%
30°C 25%
32°C 20%
29°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
25°C or below
3%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
4%
29°C
9%
30°C
25%
31°C
40%
32°C
20%
33°C
6%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
3%
31°C 40%
30°C 25%
32°C 20%
29°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
25°C or below
$5 Vol.
3%
26°C
$91 Vol.
1%
27°C
$275 Vol.
2%
28°C
$355 Vol.
4%
29°C
$718 Vol.
9%
30°C
$491 Vol.
25%
31°C
$861 Vol.
40%
32°C
$447 Vol.
20%
33°C
$14 Vol.
6%
34°C
$42 Vol.
2%
35°C or higher
$5 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent local forecasts from the Qingdao Meteorological Station indicate a maximum of 29°C on August 28 under mostly cloudy conditions with a shift from southeast to northerly winds of 3–4 on the Beaufort scale, as subtropical high pressure maintains warmer maritime air before a cooling transition. Ensemble model guidance and international sources show a tight cluster around 28–30°C, reflecting typical late-August coastal variability where diurnal heating and humidity can push afternoon peaks modestly higher than guidance. Trader emphasis on the 30–32°C outcomes aligns with this uncertainty range and historical August maxima near 29°C, while lower probabilities for 33°C+ reflect limited intensification potential ahead of the wind shift. Updated model runs and official briefings on the 28th will refine resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$3,303End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent local forecasts from the Qingdao Meteorological Station indicate a maximum of 29°C on August 28 under mostly cloudy conditions with a shift from southeast to northerly winds of 3–4 on the Beaufort scale, as subtropical high pressure maintains warmer maritime air before a cooling transition. Ensemble model guidance and international sources show a tight cluster around 28–30°C, reflecting typical late-August coastal variability where diurnal heating and humidity can push afternoon peaks modestly higher than guidance. Trader emphasis on the 30–32°C outcomes aligns with this uncertainty range and historical August maxima near 29°C, while lower probabilities for 33°C+ reflect limited intensification potential ahead of the wind shift. Updated model runs and official briefings on the 28th will refine resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,303End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent local forecasts from the Qingdao Meteorological Station indicate a maximum of 29°C on August 28 under mostly cloudy conditions with a shift from southeast to northerly winds of 3–4 on the Beaufort scale, as subtropical high pressure maintains warmer maritime air before a cooling transition. Ensemble model guidance and international sources show a tight cluster around 28–30°C, reflecting typical late-August coastal variability where diurnal heating and humidity can push afternoon peaks modestly higher than guidance. Trader emphasis on the 30–32°C outcomes aligns with this uncertainty range and historical August maxima near 29°C, while lower probabilities for 33°C+ reflect limited intensification potential ahead of the wind shift. Updated model runs and official briefings on the 28th will refine resolution thresholds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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