**Forecast consensus and model alignment position 29–30°C as the most probable daily maximum for Qingdao on August 27.** Official and international guidance (including local meteorological stations and global models) consistently projects a high near 29–30°C under partly to mostly cloudy skies, light southerly or variable winds, and moderate humidity levels around 70–90%. This places 30°C at the center of the distribution, with 29°C as a close alternative depending on exact timing of peak heating and any brief cloud thickening. Coastal proximity to the Yellow Sea provides a moderating influence that typically caps extremes in late August, aligning with climatological averages near 29°C for the month. Scattered showers or thunderstorms mentioned in some updates could suppress the peak by 1–2°C if they develop earlier than expected, supporting the 28°C and 29°C probabilities. Conversely, clearer intervals or slightly stronger insolation could allow brief excursions to 31°C, explaining its secondary but non-negligible share. Recent data releases—updated model runs and morning observations showing temperatures climbing through the mid-20s—have reinforced this narrow range without signaling major shifts. As the day progresses toward resolution, any new observational reports of rapid warming or sustained cloud cover will be the key variables traders monitor.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Qingdao on August 27?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on August 27?
30°C 42%
29°C 29%
31°C 14%
28°C 13%
NEW
NEW
Aug 27, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
13%
29°C
28%
30°C
42%
31°C
14%
32°C
5%
33°C
2%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 42%
29°C 29%
31°C 14%
28°C 13%
NEW
NEW
Aug 27, 2026
25°C or below
$1,164 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$394 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$1,964 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$800 Vol.
13%
29°C
$847 Vol.
28%
30°C
$1,122 Vol.
42%
31°C
$1,361 Vol.
14%
32°C
$911 Vol.
5%
33°C
$276 Vol.
2%
34°C
$172 Vol.
<1%
35°C or higher
$841 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus and model alignment position 29–30°C as the most probable daily maximum for Qingdao on August 27.** Official and international guidance (including local meteorological stations and global models) consistently projects a high near 29–30°C under partly to mostly cloudy skies, light southerly or variable winds, and moderate humidity levels around 70–90%. This places 30°C at the center of the distribution, with 29°C as a close alternative depending on exact timing of peak heating and any brief cloud thickening.
Coastal proximity to the Yellow Sea provides a moderating influence that typically caps extremes in late August, aligning with climatological averages near 29°C for the month. Scattered showers or thunderstorms mentioned in some updates could suppress the peak by 1–2°C if they develop earlier than expected, supporting the 28°C and 29°C probabilities. Conversely, clearer intervals or slightly stronger insolation could allow brief excursions to 31°C, explaining its secondary but non-negligible share.
Recent data releases—updated model runs and morning observations showing temperatures climbing through the mid-20s—have reinforced this narrow range without signaling major shifts. As the day progresses toward resolution, any new observational reports of rapid warming or sustained cloud cover will be the key variables traders monitor.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$9,852End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus and model alignment position 29–30°C as the most probable daily maximum for Qingdao on August 27.** Official and international guidance (including local meteorological stations and global models) consistently projects a high near 29–30°C under partly to mostly cloudy skies, light southerly or variable winds, and moderate humidity levels around 70–90%. This places 30°C at the center of the distribution, with 29°C as a close alternative depending on exact timing of peak heating and any brief cloud thickening.
Coastal proximity to the Yellow Sea provides a moderating influence that typically caps extremes in late August, aligning with climatological averages near 29°C for the month. Scattered showers or thunderstorms mentioned in some updates could suppress the peak by 1–2°C if they develop earlier than expected, supporting the 28°C and 29°C probabilities. Conversely, clearer intervals or slightly stronger insolation could allow brief excursions to 31°C, explaining its secondary but non-negligible share.
Recent data releases—updated model runs and morning observations showing temperatures climbing through the mid-20s—have reinforced this narrow range without signaling major shifts. As the day progresses toward resolution, any new observational reports of rapid warming or sustained cloud cover will be the key variables traders monitor.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$9,852End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus and model alignment position 29–30°C as the most probable daily maximum for Qingdao on August 27.** Official and international guidance (including local meteorological stations and global models) consistently projects a high near 29–30°C under partly to mostly cloudy skies, light southerly or variable winds, and moderate humidity levels around 70–90%. This places 30°C at the center of the distribution, with 29°C as a close alternative depending on exact timing of peak heating and any brief cloud thickening. Coastal proximity to the Yellow Sea provides a moderating influence that typically caps extremes in late August, aligning with climatological averages near 29°C for the month. Scattered showers or thunderstorms mentioned in some updates could suppress the peak by 1–2°C if they develop earlier than expected, supporting the 28°C and 29°C probabilities. Conversely, clearer intervals or slightly stronger insolation could allow brief excursions to 31°C, explaining its secondary but non-negligible share. Recent data releases—updated model runs and morning observations showing temperatures climbing through the mid-20s—have reinforced this narrow range without signaling major shifts. As the day progresses toward resolution, any new observational reports of rapid warming or sustained cloud cover will be the key variables traders monitor.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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