Forecasts from multiple models indicate a high around 99–104°F for Austin on August 28, driven by persistent high pressure, mostly clear skies, and light easterly or variable winds under late-summer conditions typical of central Texas. Recent days have featured highs of 104–107°F amid a broader heat pattern, with minimal cloud cover and low precipitation chances (under 10–20%) limiting cooling. Key variables include subtle differences in model runs for boundary-layer mixing and any weak afternoon seabreeze effects from the Gulf, which could nudge the peak by 2–4°F. Official NWS guidance and consensus point to upper 90s to low 100s as the most probable range, with lower odds for extremes below 95°F or above 105°F given the stable synoptic setup.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Austin on August 28?
Highest temperature in Austin on August 28?
100-101°F 69%
102-103°F 69%
98-99°F 38%
104-105°F 23%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
91°F or below
1%
92-93°F
10%
94-95°F
13%
96-97°F
18%
98-99°F
38%
100-101°F
69%
102-103°F
69%
104-105°F
23%
106-107°F
1%
108-109°F
1%
110°F or higher
1%
100-101°F 69%
102-103°F 69%
98-99°F 38%
104-105°F 23%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
91°F or below
$0 Vol.
1%
92-93°F
$0 Vol.
10%
94-95°F
$0 Vol.
13%
96-97°F
$0 Vol.
18%
98-99°F
$0 Vol.
38%
100-101°F
$0 Vol.
69%
102-103°F
$0 Vol.
69%
104-105°F
$0 Vol.
23%
106-107°F
$0 Vol.
1%
108-109°F
$0 Vol.
1%
110°F or higher
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from multiple models indicate a high around 99–104°F for Austin on August 28, driven by persistent high pressure, mostly clear skies, and light easterly or variable winds under late-summer conditions typical of central Texas. Recent days have featured highs of 104–107°F amid a broader heat pattern, with minimal cloud cover and low precipitation chances (under 10–20%) limiting cooling. Key variables include subtle differences in model runs for boundary-layer mixing and any weak afternoon seabreeze effects from the Gulf, which could nudge the peak by 2–4°F. Official NWS guidance and consensus point to upper 90s to low 100s as the most probable range, with lower odds for extremes below 95°F or above 105°F given the stable synoptic setup.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 8:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from multiple models indicate a high around 99–104°F for Austin on August 28, driven by persistent high pressure, mostly clear skies, and light easterly or variable winds under late-summer conditions typical of central Texas. Recent days have featured highs of 104–107°F amid a broader heat pattern, with minimal cloud cover and low precipitation chances (under 10–20%) limiting cooling. Key variables include subtle differences in model runs for boundary-layer mixing and any weak afternoon seabreeze effects from the Gulf, which could nudge the peak by 2–4°F. Official NWS guidance and consensus point to upper 90s to low 100s as the most probable range, with lower odds for extremes below 95°F or above 105°F given the stable synoptic setup.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 8:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecasts from multiple models indicate a high around 99–104°F for Austin on August 28, driven by persistent high pressure, mostly clear skies, and light easterly or variable winds under late-summer conditions typical of central Texas. Recent days have featured highs of 104–107°F amid a broader heat pattern, with minimal cloud cover and low precipitation chances (under 10–20%) limiting cooling. Key variables include subtle differences in model runs for boundary-layer mixing and any weak afternoon seabreeze effects from the Gulf, which could nudge the peak by 2–4°F. Official NWS guidance and consensus point to upper 90s to low 100s as the most probable range, with lower odds for extremes below 95°F or above 105°F given the stable synoptic setup.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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