Official National Weather Service forecasts for Austin on August 28 project a low near 78°F under mostly clear skies, with model consensus from recent runs supporting a minimum in the mid- to upper 70s amid light southeast winds and low precipitation chances under 20%. Trader sentiment clusters around 69°F or below as the slim tail-risk outcome while spreading probability across the 72–81°F bins due to typical ensemble spread in overnight radiative cooling, dew point variability, and urban heat island effects. Historical August climatology shows average lows near 74°F, but current high pressure and minimal cloud cover favor less cooling than extreme scenarios. Updated model guidance and NWS evening briefings represent the next potential catalysts for shifts in implied probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Austin on August 28?
Lowest temperature in Austin on August 28?
69°F or below 69%
74-75°F 28%
72-73°F 27%
76-77°F 27%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
69°F or below
69%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
27%
74-75°F
28%
76-77°F
27%
78-79°F
25%
80-81°F
25%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
10%
86-87°F
7%
88°F or higher
5%
69°F or below 69%
74-75°F 28%
72-73°F 27%
76-77°F 27%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
69°F or below
$11 Vol.
69%
70-71°F
$11 Vol.
1%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
27%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
28%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
27%
78-79°F
$0 Vol.
25%
80-81°F
$0 Vol.
25%
82-83°F
$5 Vol.
2%
84-85°F
$5 Vol.
10%
86-87°F
$5 Vol.
7%
88°F or higher
$5 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service forecasts for Austin on August 28 project a low near 78°F under mostly clear skies, with model consensus from recent runs supporting a minimum in the mid- to upper 70s amid light southeast winds and low precipitation chances under 20%. Trader sentiment clusters around 69°F or below as the slim tail-risk outcome while spreading probability across the 72–81°F bins due to typical ensemble spread in overnight radiative cooling, dew point variability, and urban heat island effects. Historical August climatology shows average lows near 74°F, but current high pressure and minimal cloud cover favor less cooling than extreme scenarios. Updated model guidance and NWS evening briefings represent the next potential catalysts for shifts in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Volume
$42End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service forecasts for Austin on August 28 project a low near 78°F under mostly clear skies, with model consensus from recent runs supporting a minimum in the mid- to upper 70s amid light southeast winds and low precipitation chances under 20%. Trader sentiment clusters around 69°F or below as the slim tail-risk outcome while spreading probability across the 72–81°F bins due to typical ensemble spread in overnight radiative cooling, dew point variability, and urban heat island effects. Historical August climatology shows average lows near 74°F, but current high pressure and minimal cloud cover favor less cooling than extreme scenarios. Updated model guidance and NWS evening briefings represent the next potential catalysts for shifts in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$42End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official National Weather Service forecasts for Austin on August 28 project a low near 78°F under mostly clear skies, with model consensus from recent runs supporting a minimum in the mid- to upper 70s amid light southeast winds and low precipitation chances under 20%. Trader sentiment clusters around 69°F or below as the slim tail-risk outcome while spreading probability across the 72–81°F bins due to typical ensemble spread in overnight radiative cooling, dew point variability, and urban heat island effects. Historical August climatology shows average lows near 74°F, but current high pressure and minimal cloud cover favor less cooling than extreme scenarios. Updated model guidance and NWS evening briefings represent the next potential catalysts for shifts in implied probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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