**Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and multiple meteorological sources project an overnight low in the upper 70s for Austin on August 27, 2026, with consensus centering on 78–79°F after daytime highs near 100–102°F under a heat advisory.** This positions trader sentiment around the closely bunched 74–81°F bins because the exact minimum depends on variables such as the timing and coverage of afternoon/evening thunderstorms, which can trap heat and limit radiative cooling, versus clearer skies that allow greater temperature drops. Light winds (generally 5 mph or less) and high humidity further moderate overnight cooling rates in this subtropical climate. Model consensus and historical August averages (typical lows near 72–75°F) support the current distribution, with any downward revision in storm chances or shifts in steering flow potentially favoring the lower bins. Updated NWS briefings and local observations through the evening remain the key near-term catalysts for market movement.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Austin on August 27?
Lowest temperature in Austin on August 27?
76-77°F 51%
74-75°F 27%
78-79°F 27%
80-81°F 27%
NEW
NEW
Aug 27, 2026
69°F or below
1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
9%
74-75°F
27%
76-77°F
28%
78-79°F
27%
80-81°F
27%
82-83°F
18%
84-85°F
4%
86-87°F
<1%
88°F or higher
<1%
76-77°F 51%
74-75°F 27%
78-79°F 27%
80-81°F 27%
NEW
NEW
Aug 27, 2026
69°F or below
$27 Vol.
1%
70-71°F
$162 Vol.
1%
72-73°F
$8 Vol.
9%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
27%
76-77°F
$59 Vol.
28%
78-79°F
$0 Vol.
27%
80-81°F
$0 Vol.
27%
82-83°F
$0 Vol.
18%
84-85°F
$172 Vol.
4%
86-87°F
$206 Vol.
<1%
88°F or higher
$166 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and multiple meteorological sources project an overnight low in the upper 70s for Austin on August 27, 2026, with consensus centering on 78–79°F after daytime highs near 100–102°F under a heat advisory.**
This positions trader sentiment around the closely bunched 74–81°F bins because the exact minimum depends on variables such as the timing and coverage of afternoon/evening thunderstorms, which can trap heat and limit radiative cooling, versus clearer skies that allow greater temperature drops. Light winds (generally 5 mph or less) and high humidity further moderate overnight cooling rates in this subtropical climate.
Model consensus and historical August averages (typical lows near 72–75°F) support the current distribution, with any downward revision in storm chances or shifts in steering flow potentially favoring the lower bins. Updated NWS briefings and local observations through the evening remain the key near-term catalysts for market movement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Volume
$800End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and multiple meteorological sources project an overnight low in the upper 70s for Austin on August 27, 2026, with consensus centering on 78–79°F after daytime highs near 100–102°F under a heat advisory.**
This positions trader sentiment around the closely bunched 74–81°F bins because the exact minimum depends on variables such as the timing and coverage of afternoon/evening thunderstorms, which can trap heat and limit radiative cooling, versus clearer skies that allow greater temperature drops. Light winds (generally 5 mph or less) and high humidity further moderate overnight cooling rates in this subtropical climate.
Model consensus and historical August averages (typical lows near 72–75°F) support the current distribution, with any downward revision in storm chances or shifts in steering flow potentially favoring the lower bins. Updated NWS briefings and local observations through the evening remain the key near-term catalysts for market movement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$800End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and multiple meteorological sources project an overnight low in the upper 70s for Austin on August 27, 2026, with consensus centering on 78–79°F after daytime highs near 100–102°F under a heat advisory.** This positions trader sentiment around the closely bunched 74–81°F bins because the exact minimum depends on variables such as the timing and coverage of afternoon/evening thunderstorms, which can trap heat and limit radiative cooling, versus clearer skies that allow greater temperature drops. Light winds (generally 5 mph or less) and high humidity further moderate overnight cooling rates in this subtropical climate. Model consensus and historical August averages (typical lows near 72–75°F) support the current distribution, with any downward revision in storm chances or shifts in steering flow potentially favoring the lower bins. Updated NWS briefings and local observations through the evening remain the key near-term catalysts for market movement.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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