Recent National Weather Service observations and model consensus confirm Houston's overnight low on August 26 settled in the 80–81°F range, driven by a persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge that suppressed radiational cooling amid elevated dew points above 75°F and minimal cloud cover. This aligns with late-August climatology for the region, where urban heat island effects and Gulf moisture typically keep minimum temperatures in the upper 70s to low 80s absent a strong cold front. Trader consensus at 98% reflects high confidence in these verified station readings, with only fringe scenarios such as localized instrumentation variance or post-event data revision able to alter resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Houston on August 26?
Lowest temperature in Houston on August 26?
80-81°F 98%
88-89°F 5.4%
78-79°F 4%
76-77°F 3%
$2,181 Vol.
$2,181 Vol.
Aug 26, 2026
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
3%
78-79°F
4%
80-81°F
98%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
5%
90°F or higher
<1%
80-81°F 98%
88-89°F 5.4%
78-79°F 4%
76-77°F 3%
$2,181 Vol.
$2,181 Vol.
Aug 26, 2026
71°F or below
$48 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$79 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$742 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$90 Vol.
3%
78-79°F
$25 Vol.
4%
80-81°F
$292 Vol.
98%
82-83°F
$241 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$45 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$55 Vol.
2%
88-89°F
$25 Vol.
5%
90°F or higher
$540 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service observations and model consensus confirm Houston's overnight low on August 26 settled in the 80–81°F range, driven by a persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge that suppressed radiational cooling amid elevated dew points above 75°F and minimal cloud cover. This aligns with late-August climatology for the region, where urban heat island effects and Gulf moisture typically keep minimum temperatures in the upper 70s to low 80s absent a strong cold front. Trader consensus at 98% reflects high confidence in these verified station readings, with only fringe scenarios such as localized instrumentation variance or post-event data revision able to alter resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Volume
$2,181End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service observations and model consensus confirm Houston's overnight low on August 26 settled in the 80–81°F range, driven by a persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge that suppressed radiational cooling amid elevated dew points above 75°F and minimal cloud cover. This aligns with late-August climatology for the region, where urban heat island effects and Gulf moisture typically keep minimum temperatures in the upper 70s to low 80s absent a strong cold front. Trader consensus at 98% reflects high confidence in these verified station readings, with only fringe scenarios such as localized instrumentation variance or post-event data revision able to alter resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,181End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service observations and model consensus confirm Houston's overnight low on August 26 settled in the 80–81°F range, driven by a persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge that suppressed radiational cooling amid elevated dew points above 75°F and minimal cloud cover. This aligns with late-August climatology for the region, where urban heat island effects and Gulf moisture typically keep minimum temperatures in the upper 70s to low 80s absent a strong cold front. Trader consensus at 98% reflects high confidence in these verified station readings, with only fringe scenarios such as localized instrumentation variance or post-event data revision able to alter resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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